Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Cerro Porteño		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.2	1.85	Watch
	4.75	3.25	1.80
	4.9	3	1.82	Watch
	5.17	3.28	1.87
	5	3.28	1.85	Watch
	4.8	3.1	1.86
	4.74	3.24	1.92	Watch
	4.9	3.3	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4.36)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	1.86 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
19.4%

Draw
29.5%

Palmeiras
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

28.9%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

28.5%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roffo M. (G) 16. Ramirez I. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 23. Velazquez G. (C) 24. Canete Torres A. D. 35. Chaparro M. 2. Dominguez F. 18. Gamarra A. 5. Morel J. 31. Aliseda I. 19. Vegetti P.	1. Carlos Miguel (G) 26. Murilo 15. Gomez G. (C) 2. Barboza A. 40. Allan Elias 17. Marlon Freitas 30. Lucas Evangelista 22. Piquerez J. 11. Arias J. 42. Lopez J. 9. Vitor Roque
Substitutes
13. Benitez A. G. 46. Chena C. 3. Espinola A. 25. Fernandez R. (G) 28. Franco C. 11. Iturbe J. 40. Klimowicz M. 44. Merolla L. 36. Noguera F. 26. Piris R. 39. Servin L. J. 27. Torres J.	56. Arthur Gabriel 43. Benedetti 3. Bruno Fuchs 7. Felipe Anderson 4. Giay A. 39. Heittor Vinicius 48. Larson 50. Luis Pacheco 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 18. Mauricio 37. Riquelme Fillipi
Coaches
Holan A.	Abel Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Gomez G. ⚽, Arias J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramirez I. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
52', Dominguez F. 🟨,
53', Lopez J. 🟨,
62', Chaparro M. ↓, Benitez A. G. ↑,
62', Gamarra A. ↓, Iturbe J. ↑,
64', Abel Ferreira 🟨,
74', Vitor Roque ↓, Mauricio ↑,
76', Aliseda I. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
81', Murilo ↓, Bruno Fuchs ↑,
81', Dominguez F. ↓, Servin L. J. ↑,
90', Allan Elias ↓, Giay A. ↑,
90', Arias J. ↓, Luis Pacheco ↑,
90', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
90+2', Morel J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Palmeiras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Araujo S. (Inactive) Gimenez G. (Injury) Mosquera H. (Inactive) Riveros B. (Injury)

There will not play in Palmeiras: Andreas Pereira (Red Card) Jefte (Knee Injury) Khellven (Muscle Injury) Paulinho (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cerro Porteño: Merolla L. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:20. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.2:2.2).

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Palmeiras: 17.4% Cerro Porteno: 1.23%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.08.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
28.07.26	2 de Mayo - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTLWL
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
15.08.26	Fluminense - Palmeiras	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Palmeiras - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.26	Fortaleza - Palmeiras	3:2 ✺
02.08.26	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	1:1
20.05.26	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	0:1
29.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	1:1
07.05.25	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:2
09.04.25	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	1:0
24.05.23	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:3
20.04.23	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	2:1

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