Match Info

Division 2 - Round 33

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)


	Olimpia Elbląg		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.75	1.22
	13	7.6	1.12
	12.39	7.08	1.14
	14.77	7	1.17	Watch
	16	7.3	1.1	Watch
	13	6.75	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.94 ↑ (6.65)	6.91 ↑ (4.4)	1.16 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
7.1%

Draw
13.3%

Polonia Bytom
79.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

20.8%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

20.4%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olimpia Elbląg's form might have worsened.

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Bytom's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Elbląg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Bytom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Polonia Bytom (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Bytom (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Witan A. (C) 12. Czaplinski D. 6. Czernis M. 5. Gorecki K. 19. Kozera D. 4. Laszak K. 7. Skwierczynski K. 16. Szalecki D. 25. Sznajder F. 14. Tyaglo O. 17. Zielinski W.	99. Holewinski A. (G) 11. Andrzejczak K. 30. Krzyzak O. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 19. Sarmiento J. 6. Scislak D. 17. Steblecki S. 16. Stefanski P. 14. Szymusik G. 9. Wojtyra K. 28. Wypart O.
Substitutes
15. Fyk O. 26. Jasinski M. 21. Lorenc M. 3. Matynia H. 29. Pirog J. 20. Semeniv D. 1. Valion A. (G)	23. Arak J. 26. Barczak N. 18. Gajda T. 8. Labojko M. 10. Skupin N. 1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 4. Szywacz R. 7. Zielinski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Elbląg is Relegated to

Polonia Bytom is Qualified for Division 1

Elbląg is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Polonia Bytom is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Polonia Bytom is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elbląg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Elbląg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
24.05.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Hutnik	0:5 ✺
17.05.25	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Elbląg	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Olimpia Elbląg - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Elbląg	4:2 ✺
26.04.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Resovia Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLL
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 2
24.05.25	Polonia Bytom - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	Hutnik - Polonia Bytom	3:5 ✺
11.05.25	Polonia Bytom - Wieczysta Kraków	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	KKS Kalisz - Polonia Bytom	2:4 ✺
26.04.25	Polonia Bytom - Wisła Puławy	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
02.11.24	Polonia Bytom - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0
18.05.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Bytom	1:3
03.11.23	Polonia Bytom - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1
26.11.16	Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Bytom	5:1
06.08.16	Polonia Bytom - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0

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