The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Polonia Bytom 67%
Draw 22.2%
Chojniczanka Chojnice 10.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.3%
23.8%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
23.2%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polonia Bytom's performance.
Chojniczanka Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chojniczanka Chojnice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polonia Bytom that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chojniczanka Chojnice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
99. Holewinski A. (G) 25. Konieczny D. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 8. Labojko M. 19. Sarmiento J. 17. Steblecki S. 16. Stefanski P. 14. Szymusik G. 4. Szywacz R. 9. Wojtyra K. 28. Wypart O.
29. Primel D. (G) 2. Bakowicz M. 5. Czajka B. 10. Kaminski D. 24. Romanik J. 20. Sabala V. (C) 18. Sajdak P. 7. Szczepanek B. 19. Tkocz M. 3. Yukhymovych D. 31. Zywicki J.
Substitutes
11. Andrzejczak K. 23. Arak J. 18. Gajda T. 3. Michalski S. 20. Mirowski M. 6. Scislak D. 10. Skupin N. 1. Szymkowiak K. (G)
1. Antkowiak M. (G) 22. Branecki J. 30. Golebiowski R. 21. Golinski J. 16. Kacerik A. 34. Nowacki D. 66. Olejnik P. 11. Stefaniak M. 8. Zylla M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Sajdak P. 🟨,
26', Szywacz R. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Romanik J. ⚽,
45', Romanik J. ↓, Olejnik P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sajdak P. ↓, Stefaniak M. ↑,
52', Zywicki J. 🟨,
55', 1 - 2, Kaminski D. ⚽,
61', 🟨,
62', 2 - 2, Konieczny D. ⚽,
66', Sarmiento J. ↓, Andrzejczak K. ↑,
66', Steblecki S. ↓, Gajda T. ↑,
67', Wojtyra K. ↓, Arak J. ↑,
68', Sabala V. ↓, Branecki J. ↑,
69', Zywicki J. ↓, Golebiowski R. ↑,
75', Labojko M. ↓, Scislak D. ↑,
78', Konieczny D. 🟨,
79', Tkocz M. ↓, Zylla M. ↑,
81', Stefanski P. 🟨,
85', Konieczny D. 🟨,
90', Bakowicz M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Polonia Bytom is Qualified for Division 1
Chojniczanka is Qualified for Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Now, both teams are in good form.
In this match, Polonia Bytom is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Polonia Bytom will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Polonia Bytom won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Poland
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Holewinski A. (G) 
Sarmiento J. 
Sabala V. (C) 
Yukhymovych D. 
Kacerik A. 
