Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 8

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elbinek)


	Olimpia Elbląg		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.3
	2.34	3.34	2.9
	2.25	3	2.88
	2.32	3.28	2.86	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.15)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.79 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
38.5%

Draw
28.5%

Pogoń Siedlce
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.4%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Siedlce's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Elbląg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Siedlce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Elbląg will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Witan A. (G) 11. Famulak M. 15. Jakubczyk P. 7. Jozwicki K. 19. Kozera D. 13. Kuczalek M. 3. Sarnowski L. 10. Senkevich Y. 17. Stefaniak M. 5. Szczudlinski K. 28. Yatsenko O.	1. Burek J. (G) 14. Burka D. 56. Demianiuk C. 43. Hrnciar L. 2. Lewandowski T. 3. Majewski R. 4. Misiak P. 10. Mis K. 18. Pyrdol P. 16. Sinior J. 7. Szuprytowski D.
Substitutes
6. Bartos K. 21. Filipczyk K. 12. Kardys K. 23. Labecki K. 4. Laszak K. 22. Legowski L. (G) 16. Spychala M. 30. Wierzba D. 20. Zak A.	29. Babor D. 23. Derlatka H. 31. Dzieciol E. 97. Kowynia J. (G) 21. Majewski M. 98. Myszkowski O. 9. Nowak D. 26. Okusami J. 99. Wicenciak B.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Pogoń Siedlce could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Elbląg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Elbląg won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
15.09.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Puławy	3:2 ✺
02.09.23	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Jastrzębie	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Radunia Stężyca	0:1 ✺
11.08.23	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLLW
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
17.09.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Siedlce	0:4 ✺
02.09.23	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Hutnik - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Pogoń Siedlce - KKS Kalisz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
09.08.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1
Polish Division 2
04.03.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1
06.08.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1
26.02.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1
18.08.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1
Polish Cup
04.08.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg	0:3
Polish Division 2
28.04.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Siedlce	0:0

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