Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Grudziądzu (Grudziądz)


	Olimpia Grudziądz		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	2.6	3.4	2.4
	2.6	3.6	2.42
	2.5	3.3	2.38
	2.64	3.28	2.39	Watch
	2.68	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.2)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	2.41 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Grudziądz
35.2%

Draw
27%

Pogoń Siedlce
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Grudziądz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olimpia Grudziądz's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Siedlce's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Grudziądz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Siedlce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olszewski A. (G) 7. Cabrera J. 88. Cherniy K. 14. Gutowski K. 18. Jarzec K. 77. Kobryn R. 8. Kurowski K. 26. Rozgoniuc A. 29. Rychert K. 6. Sikorski O. 23. Warcholak M.	1. Burek J. (G) 20. Bujalski C. 14. Burka D. 56. Demianiuk C. 31. Dzieciol E. 3. Majewski R. 4. Misiak P. 9. Nowak D. 18. Pyrdol P. 16. Sinior J. 7. Szuprytowski D.
Substitutes
9. Abreu G. 21. Bonikowski J. 19. Fabis D. 44. Frelek D. 30. Gorski K. (G) 15. Palaszewski M. 11. Papikyan A. 20. Vu Thanh D. 10. Winsztal P.	29. Babor D. 23. Derlatka H. 97. Kowynia J. (G) 21. Majewski M. 10. Mis K. 26. Okusami J. 99. Wicenciak B. 8. Wlodyka K.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 3.

Olimpia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pogoń Siedlce is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pogoń Siedlce could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
25.09.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:2 ✺
16.09.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Radunia Stężyca - Olimpia Grudziądz	5:1 ✺
02.09.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTT
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 2
23.09.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:3 ✺
20.09.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Siedlce	0:4 ✺
02.09.23	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
18.04.21	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2
17.10.20	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:1
17.11.18	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:1
28.07.18	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0
Polish Division 1
05.05.18	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce	4:2
Club Friendly
04.02.18	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0
Polish Division 1
18.10.17	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1

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