Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Olimpia Tegucigalpa		Lobos UPNFM

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	8.75
	1.24	5.15	9.2
	1.24	5.16	8.51
	1.29	5.41	9.22	Watch
	1.22	5.1	8.4
	1.22	5.1	11.6	Watch
	1.24	4.9	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↑ (1.22)	5.15 ↓ (5.2)	9.24 ↓ (11.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
72.7%

Draw
17.5%

Lobos UPNFM
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

17.5%

8.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Menjivar E. (G) 19. Arboleda Y. 3. Bennett C. 12. Canales C. 45. Cortes B. 6. Garcia F. 18. Garcia R. 4. Lobo E. 20. Maldonado A. 8. Rodriguez E. 68. Rodriguez J.	12. Guity A. (G) 18. Carter D. 24. Elvir O. 11. Elvir S. 7. Hurtado L. 77. Mejia C. 8. Nunez J. 3. Rodas Andrino G. J. 13. Rodriguez M. 25. Santos M. 2. Suazo D.
Substitutes
73. Arzu D. 9. Benguche J. 5. Cuello E. 31. Dibble N. 7. Enriquez I. 15. Guity K. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 39. Ortiz A. 57. Puerto 22. Rodriguez O. (G)	22. Ardon C. 23. Castrillo J. 21. Erazo A. 4. Garcia J. 32. Juan M. 55. Lagos D. (G) 26. Lopez B. 20. Lopez E. 6. Ponce J. 17. Rodas D. 9. Villafranca J. 5. Zuniga A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodas Andrino G. J. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
46', Elvir S. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
58', Rodriguez M. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
58', Carter D. ↓, Villafranca J. ↑,
63', Garcia R. ↓, Jean-Baptiste J. ↑,
63', Arboleda Y. ↓, Benguche J. ↑,
63', Cortes B. ↓, Guity K. ↑,
64', Rodriguez J. ↓, Enriquez I. ↑,
65', Hurtado L. ↓, Castrillo J. ↑,
73', Ponce J. 🟨,
78', Rodriguez E. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
90+1', Castrillo J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 4.

Lobos UPNFM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Olimpia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:11. (average 1.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Olimpia	8	5	2	1	19:7	12	17
9	UPNFM	8	2	2	4	7:12	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
CONCACAF Central American Cup
28.07.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
Honduras Super Cup
23.07.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	1:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
15.05.26	CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real España	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Real España - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL
- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
30.04.26	Lobos UPNFM - Motagua	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	1:0 ✺
23.04.26	Lobos UPNFM - Génesis PN	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Platense - Lobos UPNFM	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
02.04.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	0:0
07.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:1
05.10.25	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2
26.07.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	2:0
05.03.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	2:0
18.01.25	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:1
09.11.24	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2

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