Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 33

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday


	Olimpia Zambrów		GKS Bełchatów

	1	X	2
	1.78	4.4	3
	1.81	3.68	3.68	Watch
	1.8	3.9	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.1)	3.99 ↑ (3.5)	3.34 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Zambrów
50.3%

Draw
22.6%

GKS Bełchatów
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

26%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Zambrów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Zambrów's performance.

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Zambrów that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Olimpia Zambrów - GKS Bełchatów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Malinowski P. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Bartosiak B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 2 - 1, Jastrzebski P. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Bartosiak B. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Zambrów will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zambrów won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Zambrów won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.05.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Olimpia Zambrów	2:0 ✺
18.05.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Legionovia Legionowo	3:1 ✺
15.05.24	Wikielec - Olimpia Zambrów	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Warta Sieradz	1:2 ✺
04.05.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Olimpia Zambrów	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLW
- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.05.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	5:1 ✺
18.05.24	GKS Bełchatów - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:0 ✺
15.05.24	Legionovia Legionowo - GKS Bełchatów	2:3 ✺
11.05.24	GKS Bełchatów - Wikielec	0:1 ✺
03.05.24	Warta Sieradz - GKS Bełchatów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.11.23	GKS Bełchatów - Olimpia Zambrów	3:0
Polish Division 2
19.11.16	Olimpia Zambrów - GKS Bełchatów	0:0
30.07.16	GKS Bełchatów - Olimpia Zambrów	2:0

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