Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Warta Sieradz		GKS Bełchatów

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.95	3.4
	1.64	3.99	4.44	Watch
	1.74	3.98	3.66	Watch
	1.78	4	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.79)	3.98 ↑ (3.96)	3.71 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Sieradz
52.5%

Draw
22.9%

GKS Bełchatów
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

22.9%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

21.3%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Sieradz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (+2%)

The ML Model estimate for GKS Bełchatów aligns with the current prediction.

Warta Sieradz - GKS Bełchatów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Trubnikov O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Poplawski K. ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, Sojka A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 7).

Warta Sieradz is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bełchatów has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Warta Sieradz is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Warta Sieradz will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta Sieradz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Warta Sieradz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.25	Troszyn - Warta Sieradz	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Warta Sieradz - Legia II	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Widzew Łódź II - Warta Sieradz	1:3 ✺
27.08.25	Warta Sieradz - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWWW
- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.25	GKS Bełchatów - Wasilków	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Mławianka Mława - GKS Bełchatów	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	GKS Bełchatów - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:6 ✺
31.08.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.25	Warta Sieradz - GKS Bełchatów	3:0
12.10.24	GKS Bełchatów - Warta Sieradz	1:0
03.05.24	Warta Sieradz - GKS Bełchatów	2:1
08.10.23	GKS Bełchatów - Warta Sieradz	3:2
Club Friendly
02.02.22	GKS Bełchatów - Warta Sieradz	0:5

Warta Sieradz - GKS Bełchatów: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide