Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Olimpia Zambrów		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	4.23	3.96	1.6
	4.81	4.1	1.57
	3.45	3.75	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.4)	3.94 ↑ (3.6)	1.66 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Zambrów
21.9%

Draw
23.1%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

25.3%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

24.3%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Zambrów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Zambrów is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Zambrów won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Zambrów won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.09.23	Unia Skierniewice - Olimpia Zambrów	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Pilica Białobrzegi	4:0 ✺
02.09.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Mławianka Mława	1:1 ✺
23.08.23	Concordia Elbląg - Olimpia Zambrów	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWTTL
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Legionovia Legionowo	6:2 ✺
26.08.23	Wikielec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
23.08.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.03.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:5
21.08.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	2:2
17.10.20	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	2:1
26.10.19	Olimpia Zambrów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2

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