Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 7

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Bialystok)


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	3.54	3.66	1.82
	3.88	3.94	1.74	Watch
	3.3	3.75	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.3)	3.78 ↑ (3.5)	1.8 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
25.5%

Draw
24.1%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

26.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jagiellonia II Białystok's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jagiellonia II Białystok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Jagiellonia II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Jagiellonia II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
16.09.23	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Unia Skierniewice - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:2 ✺
27.08.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:3 ✺
23.08.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTW
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
16.09.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Legionovia Legionowo	6:2 ✺
26.08.23	Wikielec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
23.08.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Victoria Sulejówek - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.04.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1
24.09.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2
11.06.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	6:0
01.05.21	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:3
07.11.20	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1

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