Match Info

Date: 28 April 2021, Wednesday


	Olimpik Donetsk		Zorya Luhansk

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4	1.44	Watch
	6.25	3.85	1.45
	6.2	3.9	1.45
	7.35	4.04	1.5
	7	4	1.47
	6.6	4.2	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.7 ↑ (5.6)	4.07 ↓ (4.25)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpik Donetsk
13.8%

Draw
22.8%

Zorya Luhansk
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

21.8%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

19.5%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpik Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Zorya Luhansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpik Donetsk than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zorya Luhansk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.4%	10.5%	71.1%

Olimpik Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Olimpik will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). Zorya will win (votes: 27 - 71.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zorya: 56.7% – 85.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion to Europa League (Qualification)).

Olimpik has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Zorya is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zorya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Olimpik have a series of guest games.

In this match Zorya is absolute favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Olimpik won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpik won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpik Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
25.04.21	Zorya Luhansk - Olimpik Donetsk	2:1 ✺
18.04.21	Mariupol - Olimpik Donetsk	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	Olimpik Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	1:2 ✺
03.04.21	Desna Chernihiv - Olimpik Donetsk	2:0 ✺
20.03.21	Vorskla Poltava - Olimpik Donetsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
25.04.21	Zorya Luhansk - Olimpik Donetsk	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.04.21	Oleksandriya - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
17.04.21	Vorskla Poltava - Zorya Luhansk	4:2 ✺
11.04.21	Zorya Luhansk - Inhulets	2:0 ✺
03.04.21	Rukh Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
25.04.21	Zorya Luhansk - Olimpik Donetsk	2:1
01.03.20	Zorya Luhansk - Olimpik Donetsk	1:0
29.09.19	Olimpik Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	0:5
25.11.18	Olimpik Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	1:1
19.08.18	Zorya Luhansk - Olimpik Donetsk	0:0
05.11.17	Olimpik Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	3:3
06.08.17	Zorya Luhansk - Olimpik Donetsk	0:2

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