Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 1

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti (Bahía Blanca)


	Olimpo Bahia Blanca		Argentino Monte Maíz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	2.95	3.6
	1.85	2.72	4.85
	1.92	2.7	4.66
	1.97	2.76	5.04	Watch
	1.87	2.82	4.76
	1.97	3.04	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 (1.92)	2.83 ↓ (3.1)	4.46 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
47.4%

Draw
32.2%

Argentino Monte Maíz
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

29.3%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

29.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Argentino Monte Maíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino Monte Maíz than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Argentino Monte Maíz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 8. Amarilla C. 11. Coacci E. 6. Ferreyra M. (C) 2. Moiraghi N. 9. Murialdo A. 5. Pavon A. 7. Prost M. 10. Ramirez D. 3. Vega G. 4. Vivas J.	1. Bonet A. (G) 5. Baier G. 3. Barbero M. 6. Canavesio F. 4. Coronas E. 10. Correa M. 7. Larrea L. 9. Lentini R. 11. Lopez L. 2. Vera H. 8. Vera M.
Substitutes
18. Curruhinca A. 12. Ibanez M. (G) 14. Kucich M. 17. Ojeda M. 13. Paiz J. 15. Perez F. 19. Tarifa G. 20. Villacorta F. 16. Villagra N.	13. Amaya I. 17. Bassani J. 12. Cuesta J. (G) 15. Lasserre R. 16. Moreyra P. 14. Perrig U. 18. Tejada J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Prost M. ⚽,
43', Ramirez D. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Amarilla C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Baier G. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, ⚽,
80', 🟨,
83', 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Olimpo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Argentino MM is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Argentino MM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Olimpo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Olimpo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.07.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Cipolletti	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Deportivo Rincón - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:0 ✺
23.06.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLTW
- Argentino Monte Maíz
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Argentino Monte Maíz	4:1 ✺
06.07.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Huracán Las Heras	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Argentino Monte Maíz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.08.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Argentino Monte Maíz	0:1
16.10.22	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Argentino Monte Maíz	2:0
03.07.22	Argentino Monte Maíz - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1

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