Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Rawson)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Germinal		Olimpo Bahia Blanca

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.55	2.80
	2.75	2.80	2.55
	2.59	2.63	3.04
	2.79	2.69	2.94	Watch
	2.55	2.60	2.85
	2.62	2.61	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.7)	2.65 ↓ (2.85)	2.84 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germinal
34%

Draw
34.2%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

31.5%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

31.6%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Molini L. (G) 9. Carcamo F. 8. Gonzalez A. 5. Macaroff N. 3. Moreno A. 7. Oliveri T. 2. Rios N. 10. Rojas J. 6. Teran I. (C) 11. Velazquez J. 4. Yocco L.	1. Geist C. (G) 7. Coacci E. 5. Fernandez S. 6. Ferreyra M. (C) 11. Hernandez A. 4. Hertel L. 10. Ibarra C. 8. Olivera M. 2. Osinaga A. 9. Susvielles J. 3. Vega G.
Substitutes
20. De Hoyos D. 12. Grigera F. (G) 15. Lencina K. 18. Navarro G. 17. Nunez G. 19. Santilli E. 14. Soto O. 13. Sveruk L. 16. Veloso L.	16. Amarilla C. 20. Colmenares M. 18. Espejo L. 19. Guille B. 14. Lapetina L. 17. Llanos S. 12. Lungarzo J. (G) 13. Moiraghi N. 15. Stancato A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Alvarado - Germinal	5:0 ✺
28.06.26	Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Villa Mitre - Germinal	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Germinal - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Germinal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTTL
- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Círculo Deportivo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Sol de Mayo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal	1:0
09.07.25	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1
27.04.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal	1:2
28.07.24	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1
30.06.24	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1
05.05.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal	0:1
03.09.23	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal	3:0

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