Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 3

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti (Bahía Blanca)


	Olimpo Bahia Blanca		Deportivo Rincón

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.25	5
	1.52	3.5	5.9	Watch
	1.64	3.62	4.48
	1.92	3.08	4.35	Watch
	1.46	3.62	7.26
	1.52	3.8	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.52)	3.48 ↓ (3.8)	5.38 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
56.7%

Draw
26.3%

Deportivo Rincón
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.7%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.8%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

The chances for Deportivo Rincón have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Rincón than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Deportivo Rincón Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Rincón (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rincón (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 8. Amarilla C. 11. Coacci E. 6. Ferreyra M. (C) 2. Moiraghi N. 9. Murialdo A. 7. Prost M. 10. Ramirez D. 3. Vega G. 5. Villagra N. 4. Vivas J.	1. Sanchez A. (G) 11. Avila C. 2. Chacon J. 3. Diaz E. 4. Di Bello N. 5. Gimenez E. 10. Miguel F. 8. Moreno F. 6. Osinaga A. 7. Riquelme F. 9. Villalba R.
Substitutes
18. Curruhinca A. 16. Di Buo I. 15. Fernandez S. 14. Gimenez K. 12. Ibanez M. (G) 17. Ojeda M. 13. Perez F. 19. Tarifa G. 20. Villacorta F.	15. Carrasco D. 20. Cervera G. 16. Correa C. 12. Criado J. (G) 14. Esteves C. 19. Jeldres S. 17. Lezcano A. 13. Paez A. 18. Pettineroli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Miguel F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', 🟨,
63', Murialdo A. ↓, Tarifa G. ↑,
63', Gimenez E. ↓, Carrasco D. ↑,
63', Riquelme F. ↓, Jeldres S. ↑,
71', 🟨,
75', Coacci E. ↓, Gimenez K. ↑,
75', Prost M. ↓, Villacorta F. ↑,
83', Miguel F. ↓, Lezcano A. ↑,
83', Avila C. ↓, Pettineroli F. ↑,
86', Ramirez D. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
86', Amarilla C. ↓, Curruhinca A. ↑,
90+4', Diaz E. ↓, Esteves C. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Olimpo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportivo Rincón is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Olimpo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Olimpo is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Olimpo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.07.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Argentino Monte Maíz	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Cipolletti	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Deportivo Rincón - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWL
- Deportivo Rincón
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.25	Deportivo Rincón - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Rincón	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Círculo Deportivo - Deportivo Rincón	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Deportivo Rincón - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.25	Deportivo Rincón - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:0
04.05.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Deportivo Rincón	2:1
02.06.24	Deportivo Rincón - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:1
07.04.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Deportivo Rincón	1:0

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