Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti (Bahía Blanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium


	Olimpo Bahia Blanca		Juventud Unida Universitario

	1	X	2
	1.75	2.98	4.85	Watch
	1.75	2.88	5.25
	1.8	2.94	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.74)	2.93 ↑ (2.85)	5.02 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
51.2%

Draw
30.8%

Juventud Unida Universitario
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

31.3%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

30.4%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Juventud Unida Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Unida Universitario than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Juventud Unida Universitario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 7. Amarilla C. 11. Coacci E. 4. Di Buo I. 8. Espejo L. 5. Fernandez S. 3. Ferreyra M. 6. Moiraghi N. 10. Ramirez D. 9. Tarifa G. 2. Vivas J.	1. Taborda C. (G) 11. Dorato M. 10. Escobares Becerra I. 3. Figueroa L. 4. Garro E. 6. Godoy M. A. 5. Gomez M. 9. Lucero L. 8. Moya S. 2. Ojeda G. 7. Salinas G.
Substitutes
18. Curruhinca A. 16. Gallegos E. 17. Groba G. 12. Ibanez M. (G) 13. Oneto T. 14. Perez F. 20. Prost M. 19. Villacorta F. 15. Villagra N.	17. Cordoba D. 19. Correa L. 13. Gimenez J. 14. Gomez F. 20. Lima A. 12. Lucero J. (G) 18. Perez L. 16. Roldan V. 15. Sosa W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Espejo L. ⚽,
29', Fernandez S. 🟨,
35', Amarilla C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Tarifa G. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpo won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Juventud Unida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Olimpo is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Olimpo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpo Bahia Blanca - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 51.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.10.25	Juventud Unida Universitario - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Cipolletti - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLTWT
- Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.10.25	Juventud Unida Universitario - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Juventud Unida Universitario - Huracán Las Heras	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Guillermo Brown - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Juventud Unida Universitario - San Martín de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Círculo Deportivo - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.10.25	Juventud Unida Universitario - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0
20.07.22	Juventud Unida Universitario - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	3:1
10.04.22	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0
10.09.21	Juventud Unida Universitario - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0
07.06.21	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:0
10.01.21	Juventud Unida Universitario - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:0
07.12.19	Juventud Unida Universitario - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:0

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