Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 3

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)


	Guillermo Brown		Juventud Unida Universitario

	1	X	2
	1.83	2.90	4.33
	1.71	3.15	4.60
	1.56	3.34	6.25
	1.61	3.68	5.67	Watch
	1.51	3.30	6.15
	1.56	3.28	6.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.16)	3.28 ↑ (2.75)	5.57 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
55.9%

Draw
27.8%

Juventud Unida Universitario
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

32.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guillermo Brown's performance.

Juventud Unida Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud Unida Universitario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guillermo Brown that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida Universitario than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud Unida Universitario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guillermo Brown - Juventud Unida Universitario Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guillermo Brown (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grinovero A. (G) 5. Chiavetto A. 4. Conde M. 7. Cucchi P. 6. Diaz R. 11. Goiburu E. 8. Mera B. 3. Moreno E. 2. Paparelli R. 10. Rivero M. 9. Zapulla I.	1. Lucero J. (G) 10. Aman Campos F. 2. Benenatti J. 3. Figueroa L. 5. Gomez J. 9. Lucero L. 11. Noguera F. 6. Ojeda G. 8. Perez L. 4. Rosales J. 7. Sosa A.
Substitutes
13. Alvarez A. 19. Ayala E. 15. Bravo I. 20. Dezi L. 17. Esmay V. 18. Hang F. 16. Silva A. 14. Silva F. 12. Ullua S. (G)	18. Amieva J. 14. Chavarria C. 12. Cirrincione E. (G) 16. Dorato M. 17. Lima A. 20. Roldan V. 19. Salinas G. 15. Sosa E. 13. Sosa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Cucchi P. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Diaz R. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Sosa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Juventud Unida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guillermo Brown won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Guillermo Brown won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.08.26	Círculo Deportivo - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Guillermo Brown - Germinal	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	3:0 ✺
05.07.26	Guillermo Brown - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Guillermo Brown	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL
- Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.08.26	Juventud Unida Universitario - FADEP	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Germinal - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Juventud Unida Universitario - Cipolletti	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.09.25	Guillermo Brown - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.03.16	Juventud Unida Universitario - Guillermo Brown	3:1

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