Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Tábua (Tábua)


	Oliveira Hospital		Samora Correia

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.05	7.9
	1.38	4	7.56
	1.4	3.97	7.89	Watch
	1.4	3.75	7.5
	1.43	4.1	7.17
	1.38	3.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.37)	3.95 ↓ (4.27)	7.67 ↑ (7.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveira Hospital
65.2%

Draw
23%

Samora Correia
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.3%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

20.3%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveira Hospital has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Oliveira Hospital - Samora Correia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, ⚽,
73', 3 - 0, ⚽,
75', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Oliveira Hospital is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Samora Correia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Samora Correia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Oliveira Hospital is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Oliveira Hospital will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oliveira Hospital won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oliveira Hospital	4	3	0	1	6:4	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliveira Hospital
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.01.26	Peniche - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Oliveira Hospital - Lajense	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Marinhense - Oliveira Hospital	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	União da Serra - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWWT
- GD Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.01.26	Samora Correia - Marinhense	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	SC Lusitânia - Samora Correia	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	União da Serra - Samora Correia	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Samora Correia - SB Castelo Branco	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Eléctrico - Samora Correia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.08.25	Samora Correia - Oliveira Hospital	1:0

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