Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Da Murteira (Samora Correia)


	Samora Correia		Marinhense

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.42
	2.86	2.82	2.58	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.45
	2.8	2.8	2.51
	2.83	2.71	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.89)	2.8 ↓ (3.13)	2.51 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Samora Correia
32%

Draw
32.1%

Marinhense
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

28.7%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

28%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samora Correia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marinhense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Samora Correia - Marinhense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 0 - 1, ⚽,
85', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samora Correia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.01.26	SC Lusitânia - Samora Correia	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	União da Serra - Samora Correia	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Samora Correia - SB Castelo Branco	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Eléctrico - Samora Correia	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Samora Correia - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTLLL
- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.01.26	Marinhense - Peniche	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Marinhense - Oliveira Hospital	0:3 ✺
13.12.25	Lajense - Marinhense	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	SC Lusitânia - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Marinhense - União da Serra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Marinhense - Samora Correia	2:1 penalties

Samora Correia - Marinhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide