Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Oliveirense		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.45	2.9	2.75
	2.5	3.05	2.65
	2.49	3	2.65
	2.73	2.97	3.03
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.5	3.13	2.82
	2.5	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.62)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.77 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
36.3%

Draw
30.7%

Vilafranquense
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

30%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

31.7%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Oliveirense - Vilafranquense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Vilafranquense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 5).

Oliveirense in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Vilafranquense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveirense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
29.01.23	Mafra - Oliveirense	2:3 ✺
21.01.23	Leixões - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	Oliveirense - BSAD	2:1 ✺
07.01.23	Torreense - Oliveirense	1:1 ✺
30.12.22	Oliveirense - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWTW
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
29.01.23	Vilafranquense - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	BSAD - Vilafranquense	0:3 ✺
14.01.23	Vilafranquense - Leixões	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Covilhã - Vilafranquense	0:0 ✺
23.12.22	Vilafranquense - Mafra	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.08.22	Vilafranquense - Oliveirense	2:1
23.02.21	Oliveirense - Vilafranquense	2:2
27.09.20	Vilafranquense - Oliveirense	0:0
13.10.19	Vilafranquense - Oliveirense	3:2

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