Match Info

Date: 15 November 2020, Sunday


	Olmedo		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.83	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.9
	3.5	3.4	1.92	Watch
	3.4	3.55	1.9
	3.7	3.79	1.95
	3.6	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.55	3.86	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (4.02)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	1.91 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olmedo
25.8%

Draw
25.8%

Universidad Católica
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

25.5%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

16.6%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olmedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olmedo than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olmedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4%	0%	96%

Olmedo - Universidad Católica Predictions

Users Predictions: Universidad Católica will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.32% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Olmedo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Universidad Católica will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Olmedo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Olmedo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Olmedo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.11.20	SD Aucas - Olmedo	3:3 ✺
06.11.20	Olmedo - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0 ✺
01.11.20	Orense - Olmedo	2:1 ✺
25.10.20	Olmedo - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	Deportivo Macará - Olmedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWLWL
- Universidad Católica
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.11.20	Universidad Católica - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
11.11.20	Curicó Unido - Universidad Católica	3:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.11.20	Emelec - Universidad Católica	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
08.11.20	Palestino - Universidad Católica	1:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.11.20	Universidad Católica - Sol de América	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.09.20	Universidad Católica - Olmedo	3:1
18.10.19	Olmedo - Universidad Católica	0:0
13.05.19	Universidad Católica - Olmedo	2:0
30.11.14	Olmedo - Universidad Católica	0:3
12.10.14	Universidad Católica - Olmedo	1:0
11.05.14	Olmedo - Universidad Católica	2:0
22.02.14	Universidad Católica - Olmedo	1:2

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