Match Info

Date: 8 November 2020, Sunday


	Emelec		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.85
	2.35	3.15	2.8	Watch
	2.41	3.1	2.75
	2.62	3.25	2.82
	2.45	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.44	3.4	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.14)	3.2 ↓ (3.36)	2.79 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emelec
38.1%

Draw
28.9%

Universidad Católica
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

18.6%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emelec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Católica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Emelec - Universidad Católica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 6).

Recent matches Emelec is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universidad Católica is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Emelec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Universidad Católica have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 31 head-to-head matches Emelec won 12 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 50-38.

Including matches at home between the teams Emelec won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 30-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emelec
Copa Sudamericana
05.11.20	Emelec - Unión Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.11.20	SD Aucas - Emelec	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.10.20	Unión Santa Fe - Emelec	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.10.20	Emelec - Deportivo Macará	0:0 ✺
19.10.20	Guayaquil City - Emelec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWTL
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
08.11.20	Palestino - Universidad Católica	1:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.11.20	Universidad Católica - Sol de América	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
01.11.20	Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.10.20	Universidad Católica - Independiente del Valle	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.10.20	Sol de América - Universidad Católica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.10.20	Universidad Católica - Emelec	4:1
26.10.19	Universidad Católica - Emelec	1:1
18.05.19	Emelec - Universidad Católica	1:0
03.11.18	Emelec - Universidad Católica	3:1
26.08.18	Universidad Católica - Emelec	1:0
17.06.18	Emelec - Universidad Católica	2:3
19.03.18	Universidad Católica - Emelec	2:0

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