Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	SD Aucas		Olmedo

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.99	3.38
	2.18	3.8	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	3.9 ↑ (3.76)	3.18 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Aucas
45.7%

Draw
24.4%

Olmedo
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

19.5%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Olmedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SD Aucas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olmedo than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olmedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SD Aucas - Olmedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16).

Aucas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olmedo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aucas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aucas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Aucas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aucas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Aucas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.04.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	Barcelona SC awarded ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.21	Guayaquil City - SD Aucas	0:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.04.21	9 de Octubre - SD Aucas	1:3 ✺
31.03.21	SD Aucas - Delfín	3:3 ✺
21.03.21	Manta - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 ?WWTT
- CD Olmedo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.04.21	Olmedo - Deportivo Cuenca	2:2 ✺
08.04.21	Mushuc Runa - Olmedo	4:0 ✺
01.04.21	Olmedo - Emelec	2:3 ✺
19.03.21	Técnico Universitario - Olmedo	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	9 de Octubre - Olmedo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.11.20	SD Aucas - Olmedo	3:3
26.09.20	Olmedo - SD Aucas	3:2
23.08.19	SD Aucas - Olmedo	1:0
08.04.19	Olmedo - SD Aucas	2:1

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