Match Info

Date: 11 November 2020, Wednesday


	Universidad Católica		Guayaquil City

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	7.5	Watch
	1.42	4.33	6
	1.4	4.4	6	Watch
	1.44	4.4	5.8
	1.42	4.94	6.97
	1.42	4.4	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)	4.46 ↓ (4.5)	6.47 ↓ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
65%

Draw
20.7%

Guayaquil City
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

20.4%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

11.8%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-25.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guayaquil City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universidad Católica - Guayaquil City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Universidad Católica is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match Universidad Católica is certain favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
11.11.20	Curicó Unido - Universidad Católica	3:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.11.20	Emelec - Universidad Católica	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
08.11.20	Palestino - Universidad Católica	1:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.11.20	Universidad Católica - Sol de América	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
01.11.20	Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWW
- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.11.20	Guayaquil City - SD Aucas	4:2 ✺
02.11.20	Deportivo Macará - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
26.10.20	Guayaquil City - Orense	1:1 ✺
19.10.20	Guayaquil City - Emelec	1:0 ✺
15.10.20	Olmedo - Guayaquil City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.09.20	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica	1:3
15.09.19	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica	2:1
20.04.19	Universidad Católica - Guayaquil City	1:0
08.12.18	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica	2:1
23.07.18	Universidad Católica - Guayaquil City	0:0
12.05.18	Universidad Católica - Guayaquil City	2:1
21.04.18	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica	1:1

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