Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday


	Olot		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.4
	1.97	3.15	3.65
	2.06	3.22	3.42
	2.02	3.23	3.53	Watch
	2.07	3.22	3.47
	1.97	3.15	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.15)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	3.52 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olot
45.3%

Draw
28.8%

Peña Deportiva
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.6%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

30.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olot than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Olot - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Ayala O. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Maynau J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olot won 1.

Olot is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Peña Deportiva is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Olot will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Olot won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Olot won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Olot
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Olot - Sevilla	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.11.24	CE Europa - Olot	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Olot - Mallorca B	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Elche Ilicitano - Olot	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Olot - Alzira	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLT
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.12.24	Peña Deportiva - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Sant Andreu - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Peña Deportiva - Cornellà	4:1 ✺
10.11.24	Lleida - Peña Deportiva	3:0 ✺
03.11.24	Peña Deportiva - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.02.23	Olot - Peña Deportiva	2:0
02.10.22	Peña Deportiva - Olot	1:0
23.05.21	Olot - Peña Deportiva	1:1
25.04.21	Peña Deportiva - Olot	2:1
11.02.18	Peña Deportiva - Olot	1:0
24.09.17	Olot - Peña Deportiva	1:1

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