Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Olympiacos Piraeus		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	1.60	4.00	4.75	Watch
	1.60	4.20	5.00
	1.55	4.00	5.80	Watch
	1.64	4.14	5.40
	1.49	4.58	6.08	Watch
	1.58	4.00	5.30
	1.63	4.12	5.16	Watch
	1.59	4.20	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)	4.16 ↑ (3.73)	5.34 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
59.6%

Draw
22.7%

NEC Nijmegen
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

25.4%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

24.8%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.4%	6.9%	1.7%

Olympiacos Piraeus - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Nijmegen (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olympiacos Piraeus will win (52 of 57 users predict this - 91.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.89% – 98.57%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympiacos Piraeus will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Popovic B. (G) 2. Saliakas M. 45. Retsos P. (C) 6. Carmo D. 70. Onyemaechi B. 14. Garcia D. 96. Mouzakitis C. 23. Rodinei 22. Chiquinho 73. Roca J. 9. El Kaabi A.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 21. Storm T. 3. Sandler P. 24. Fonville D. 25. Ouaissa S. 35. Monteiro J. 6. Nejasmic D. 99. Bischoff C. 20. Lebreton N. 30. Linssen B. 9. Chery T. (C)
Substitutes
77. Filis C. 7. Fortounis K. 20. Jota Silva 25. Maffeo P. 10. Martins G. 1. Ortega S. (G) 5. Pirola L. 8. Sa G. 16. Scipioni L. 4. Smajlovic Z. 91. Stournaras D. (G) 76. Tsompanidis A. (G)	36. Entius F. (G) 38. Geneste J. (G) 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 34. Kers K. 7. Mor E. 5. Ouwejan T. 2. Pereira B. 14. Sierhuis K. 10. Tadic D. 11. Willumsson W. T.
Coaches
Mendilibar J. L.	Schreuder D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Carmo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Roca J. ↓, Martins G. ↑,
56', Carmo D. ↓, Pirola L. ↑,
56', Chiquinho ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
57', Saliakas M. ↓, Maffeo P. ↑,
64', Retsos P. ↓, Smajlovic Z. ↑,
67', Garcia D. 🟨,
70', Storm T. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
70', Ouaissa S. ↓, Mor E. ↑,
74', Linssen B. ↓, Tadic D. ↑,
74', Sandler P. ↓, Hansen-Aaroen I. ↑,
90', Monteiro J. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
90+1', Willumsson W. T. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Olympiacos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nijmegen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Olympiacos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of home games.

In this match, Olympiacos is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Olympiacos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Nijmegen: 0.07% Olympiacos Piraeus: 0.07%

Last Results with these Odds

Olympiacos Piraeus - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 59.13%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Club Friendly
25.07.26	AZ Alkmaar - Olympiacos Piraeus	3:2 ✺
24.07.26	Royal Antwerp - Olympiacos Piraeus	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Ajax - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Fortuna Sittard	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWT
- NEC Nijmegen
Club Friendly
31.07.26	NEC Nijmegen - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	NEC Nijmegen - Elversberg	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	NEC Nijmegen - Al-Feiha	7:0 ✺
14.07.26	NEC Nijmegen - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	Anderlecht - NEC Nijmegen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.24	NEC Nijmegen - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2

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