Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	18:45	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	13:45	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	12:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	13:45	Disney+
China	00:45	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	11:45	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	18:45	Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, Viaplay 2 Urheilu
France	18:45	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, New World TV
Georgia	20:45	Silk Sport 1
Germany	18:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
India	22:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	19:45	5 LIVE Israel, 5 PLUS Israel
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Kazakhstan	22:45	Qazsport
Kenya	19:45	Gotv
Kosovo	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Macao	00:45	TDM TV
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	21:45	Medianet
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	10:45	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
Mongolia	00:45	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	04:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	17:45	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play
Peru	11:45	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	00:45	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 2
South Africa	18:45	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	01:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	00:45	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	23:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	19:45	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:45	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, Virgin Media More
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	CBS Sports Network, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
International	16:45	VIX App


	Olympiacos Piraeus		Paphos

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7.5
	1.46	4.33	6.5
	1.41	4.8	8.3
	1.47	4.65	7.08
	1.39	4.81	7.33	Watch
	1.46	4.92	7.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	4.71 ↑ (4.47)	7.44 ↑ (7.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
66.8%

Draw
20.3%

Paphos
12.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.7%

21.3%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

22.2%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

The chances for Paphos have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.1%	11.5%	16.4%

Olympiacos Piraeus - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 41 - 70.7%). Paphos will win (votes: 10 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 59% – 82.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 17 - 56.7%). Paphos (votes: 6 - 20%). Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Paphos (2.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Paphos (3.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (7.16) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 17 - 53.1%). Paphos (votes: 8 - 25%). Tie (votes: 7 - 21.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paschalakis A. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. (C) 5. Pirola L. 3. Ortega F. 14. Garcia D. 32. Hezze S. 27. Strefezza G. 22. Chiquinho 56. Podence D. 9. El Kaabi A.	93. Michail N. (G) 23. Luckassen D. 4. David Luiz 5. Goldar D. (C) 77. Correia J. 88. Pepe 26. Sunjic I. 30. Dragomir V. 7. Bruno 11. Jaja 10. Dimata L.
Substitutes
4. Biancone G. 20. Costinha 91. Exarchos A. (G) 6. Kalogeropoulos A. 61. Kouraklis G. (G) 96. Mouzakitis C. 8. Nascimento D. 70. Onyemaechi B. 80. Pnevmonidis S. 16. Scipioni L. 99. Taremi M.	33. Anderson Silva 1. Gorter J. (G) 25. Langa B. 17. Orsic M. 82. Petrou P. (G) 2. Pileas K. 8. Quina D. 12. Sema K.
Coaches
Mendilibar J. L.	Carcedo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Bruno 🟨,
20', Garcia D. 🟨,
26', Bruno 🟨,
33', David Luiz ↓, Pileas K. ↑,
33', Dimata L. ↓, Orsic M. ↑,
36', Pirola L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Strefezza G. ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
46', Garcia D. ↓, Mouzakitis C. ↑,
61', Rodinei ↓, Costinha ↑,
71', Taremi M. 🟨,
75', Hezze S. ↓, Pnevmonidis S. ↑,
75', Pirola L. ↓, Biancone G. ↑,
76', Jaja ↓, Sema K. ↑,
76', Correia J. ↓, Langa B. ↑,
85', Dragomir V. ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
88', Langa B. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Olympiacos have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paphos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Olympiacos is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Olympiacos: Angelakis K. (Inactive) Cabella R. (Inactive) Gustavo Mancha (Inactive) Tzolakis K. (Red Card) Vezo R. (Inactive) Yaremchuk R. (Calf Injury) Yazici Y. (Inactive)

There will not play in Paphos: Brito A. (Inactive) Odefalk W. (Inactive) Papadoudis A. (Inactive) Pedrao (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
13.09.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panserraikos	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Volos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Asteras Tripolis	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Inter Milan - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Napoli - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL
- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
13.09.25	Paphos - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	APOEL - Paphos	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.25	Paphos - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Paphos - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LWTWW

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