Match Info

Australia Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Kingsway Sporting Complex (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10


	Olympic Kingsway		Melbourne Victory

	1	X	2
	10	9	1.18	Watch
	13	7.5	1.13
	11.5	7.3	1.16	Watch
	10.86	9.53	1.13
	11.30	8.55	1.16	Watch
	13	8.5	1.12
	11.7	9.1	1.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.62 ↓ (26)	8.5 ↓ (10.2)	1.14 ↑ (1.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympic Kingsway
8%

Draw
10.9%

Melbourne Victory
81.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

3.6%

9.1%

87.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympic Kingsway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Victory might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Olympic Kingsway - Melbourne Victory Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Olympic Kingsway (4.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +3 - Olympic Kingsway (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympic Kingsway (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sinagra A. (G) 19. Lebib L. 6. Williams A. 3. Orr H. 4. Annis O. 5. Manyec L. 17. Samson J. 8. Oxborrow M. (C) 11. William R. 9. Hobson J. 20. Hewgins L.	25. Duncan J. (G) 16. Inserra J. 21. Roderick (C) 4. Jackson L. 3. Traore A. 27. D'Arrigo L. 8. Valadon J. 11. Clarismario 10. Machach Z. 23. Jelacic K. 9. Vergos N.
Substitutes
10. Boland L. . Dawit F. 15. Dowling R. 2. Leithead J. 33. Rasano K. 21. Sallis T. . Sow Y.	30. Graskoski D. (G) 26. Kolic L. 39. Lee A. 7. Piscopo R. 34. Radimisis J. 22. Rawlins J. 19. Reec J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Valadon J. ⚽, Machach Z. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Oxborrow M. (Pen),
45+1', 1 - 2, Jelacic K. ⚽, Vergos N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Samson J. 🟨,
58', Traore A. 🟨,
61', Roderick 🟨,
62', Hewgins L. ↓, Leithead J. ↑,
63', William R. ↓, Boland L. ↑,
65', Annis O. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Hobson J. ⚽, Williams A. (A),
71', Traore A. ↓, Rawlins J. ↑,
71', Clarismario ↓, Reec J. ↑,
76', Machach Z. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
78', Rawlins J. 🟥,
88', 2 - 3, Piscopo R. ⚽, Reec J. (A),
90', Vergos N. ↓, Radimisis J. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, Boland L. ⚽, Lebib L. (A),
Extra Time (1 - 0)
100', Hobson J. 🟨,
100', D'Arrigo L. 🟨,
101', 4 - 3, Boland L. (Pen),
109', Radimisis J. ↓, Kolic L. ↑,
109', Valadon J. ↓, Lee A. ↑,
110', Jackson L. 🟨,
111', Annis O. ↓, Dawit F. ↑,

Preview

Olympic Kingsway has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Olympic Kingsway may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Melbourne Victory is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympic Kingsway
Australian NPL Western Australia
25.07.25	Bayswater City - Olympic Kingsway	2:3 ✺
19.07.25	Olympic Kingsway - Armadale	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Western Knights - Olympic Kingsway	0:4 ✺
05.07.25	Olympic Kingsway - Perth RedStar	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Floreat Athena - Olympic Kingsway	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWTW
- Melbourne Victory
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Melbourne Victory - Wrexham	0:3 ✺
Australian A-League
31.05.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLW

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