Match Info

A-League - Round 1

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne)

Referee: Elder D. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV 2 Asia
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV 2, Vidio
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
Philippines	SPOTV 2
Singapore	SPOTV 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	SPOTV 2
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV 2


	Melbourne Victory		Auckland FC

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.32	3.35	2.92
	3	3.32	2.5
	2.38	3.46	2.86	Watch
	2.31	3.5	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.38)	3.39 ↓ (3.46)	2.78 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory
37.8%

Draw
28%

Auckland FC
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.3%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	50%	40%

Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Auckland will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Auckland (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Auckland (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Auckland (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Auckland (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Auckland (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Duncan J. (G) 16. Inserra J. 15. Esposito S. 4. Jackson L. 2. Davidson J. (C) 8. Valadon J. 34. Stella X. 23. Jelacic K. 10. Genreau D. 11. Clarismario 9. Vergos N.	1. Woud M. (G) 2. Sakai H. 23. Hall D. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 15. De Vries F. 77. Brook L. 6. Verstraete L. 22. Brimmer J. 11. Francois M. 21. Randall J. 9. Cosgrove S.
Substitutes
29. Dragicevic O. 14. Grimaldi M. 64. Mata J. 28. Razmovski K. 19. Reec J. 3. Traore A. 40. Warshawsky J. (G)	17. Elliot C. 14. Gillion L. 7. Howieson C. 43. Mackay R. 10. May G. 27. Rogerson L. 20. Sail O. (G)
Coaches
Diles A.	Corica S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Cosgrove S. 🟨,
38', Verstraete L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Francois M. 🟨,
68', Stella X. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
68', Jelacic K. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
68', Brook L. ↓, May G. ↑,
68', Francois M. ↓, Rogerson L. ↑,
78', Cosgrove S. ↓, Gillion L. ↑,
79', Brimmer J. ↓, Howieson C. ↑,
83', Vergos N. ↓, Reec J. ↑,

Preview

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Davidson J. (Inactive) Hamill B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory
Club Friendly
24.09.25	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	3:0 ✺
08.08.25	Hume City - Melbourne Victory	0:5 ✺
Australian Cup
29.07.25	Olympic Kingsway - Melbourne Victory	4:3 ET ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Melbourne Victory - Wrexham	0:3 ✺
Australian A-League
31.05.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Auckland FC
Australian Cup
30.08.25	Heidelberg United - Auckland FC	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Sydney - Auckland FC	1:2 penalties ✺
13.08.25	South Melbourne - Auckland FC	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Brisbane Roar - Auckland FC	2:2 ✺
Australian Cup
29.07.25	Gold Coast Knights - Auckland FC	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
24.05.25	Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory	0:2
17.05.25	Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC	0:1
19.04.25	Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC	0:2
31.12.24	Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory	0:0

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