Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Olympique Marseille		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	7	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.75	Watch
	1.55	4.1	5.8
	1.48	4.25	6.5
	1.5	4.39	6.96
	1.4	3.9	6.5
	1.45	4.33	7.3	Watch
	1.49	4.4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.54)	4.23 ↑ (4.17)	6.73 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
63.7%

Draw
22.3%

Panathinaikos
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

22.7%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

23.6%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Olympique Marseille aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Olympique Marseille - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (35 of 42 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.06% – 94.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lopez P. (G) 7. Clauss J. 4. Gigot S. 99. Mbemba Ch. 12. Lodi R. 21. Rongier V. (C) 27. Veretout J. 23. Sarr I. 29. Ndiaye I. 8. Ounahi A. 10. Aubameyang P.	91. Brignoli A. (G) 2. Vagiannidis G. 21. Jedvaj T. 23. Magnusson H. 3. Juankar 4. Perez R. (C) 52. Vilhena T. 17. Mancini D. 31. Djuricic F. 77. Verbic B. 9. Sporar A.
Substitutes
5. Balerdi L. 36. Blanco R. (G) 6. Guendouzi M. 11. Harit A. 34. Nadir B. 1. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 37. Soglo E. 95. Toure S. I. 9. Vitinha	10. Bernard 18. Cokaj E. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 7. Ioannidis F. 8. Kleinheisler L. 27. Kotsiras G. 12. Lodygin Y. (G) 25. Mladenovic F. 34. Palacios S. 14. Palmer-Brown E. 24. Sideras G. 15. Xenopoulos V. (G)
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Jovanovic I.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Panathinaikos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Panathinaikos have a series of home games.

In this match Marseille is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
12.08.23	Olympique Marseille - Reims	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.08.23	Panathinaikos - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Olympique Marseille - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
27.07.23	Waalwijk - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Eupen - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWL
- Panathinaikos FC
UEFA Champions League
09.08.23	Panathinaikos - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
01.08.23	Panathinaikos - Dnipro-1	2:2 ✺
25.07.23	Dnipro-1 - Panathinaikos	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.23	Panathinaikos - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
14.07.23	Panathinaikos - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
09.08.23	Panathinaikos - Olympique Marseille	1:0

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