Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 2

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
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Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
International	Fanatiz, Onefootball app


	Olympique Marseille		Reims

	1	X	2
	1.42	5	7	Watch
	1.43	4.8	7
	1.4	4.9	7.3
	1.42	5.08	7.54
	1.45	4.97	7.05	Watch
	1.4	4.75	7.5
	1.46	5.06	7.55	Watch
	1.4	4.9	7.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.63)	4.93 ↑ (4.2)	7.28 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
67.4%

Draw
19.4%

Reims
13.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.6%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

21.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympique Marseille's performance.

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reims might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympique Marseille that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.1%	9.9%	5%

Olympique Marseille - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (81 of 93 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.29% – 93.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rulli G. (G) 62. Murillo M. 5. Balerdi L. (C) 20. Brassier L. 3. Merlin Q. 19. Kondogbia G. 23. Hojbjerg P. 10. Greenwood M. 11. Harit A. 44. Luis Henrique 9. Wahi E.	94. Diouf Y. (G) 55. Sangui N. 2. Okumu J. 24. Agbadou E. (C) 18. Akieme S. 15. Munetsi M. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 71. Fofana Y. 7. Ito J. 22. Diakite O. 17. Nakamura K.
Substitutes
41. Ben Seghir S. 7. Carboni V. 13. Cornelius D. 12. De Lange J. (G) 29. Lirola P. 18. Meite A. 21. Rongier V. 17. Rowe J. 22. Sternal E.	5. Adeline M. 27. Bojang A. 25. De Smet T. 67. Diakhon M. 19. Gabriel Moscardo 14. Khadra R. 21. Kipre C. 20. Olliero A. (G) 11. Salama A.
Coaches
De Zerbi R.	Elsner L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Harit A. ⚽, Merlin Q. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Akieme S. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Fofana Y. ⚽,
65', Fofana Y. ↓, Adeline M. ↑,
66', Diakite O. 🟨,
66', Diakite O. ↓, Salama A. ↑,
67', Wahi E. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Greenwood M. ⚽,
75', De Zerbi R. 🟨,
78', Harit A. ↓, Carboni V. ↑,
80', Merlin Q. 🟨,
88', Nakamura K. ↓, Kipre C. ↑,
90+2', Ito J. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marseille won 4.

Marseille in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Reims is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Reims have a series of guest games.

In this match Marseille is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Marseille: Carboni V. (Injury) Kone I. (Injury) Nadir B. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Kone A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Marseille: Moumbagna F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Reims: Salama A. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Marseille to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Marseille won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 28-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
17.08.24	Brest - Olympique Marseille	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Augsburg - Olympique Marseille	1:3 ✺
03.08.24	Sunderland - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	Olympique Marseille - Pau	3:0 ✺
24.07.24	Olympique Marseille - Toulon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTWW
- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
17.08.24	Reims - Lille	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Vissel Kobe - Reims	1:0 ✺
31.07.24	Machida Zelvia - Reims	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Reims	3:0 ✺
24.07.24	Júbilo Iwata - Reims	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
15.05.24	Reims - Olympique Marseille	1:0
12.08.23	Olympique Marseille - Reims	2:1
19.03.23	Reims - Olympique Marseille	1:2
07.08.22	Olympique Marseille - Reims	4:1
24.04.22	Reims - Olympique Marseille	0:1
22.12.21	Olympique Marseille - Reims	1:1
23.04.21	Reims - Olympique Marseille	1:3

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