Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 4

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Omiya Ardija		Renofa Yamaguchi

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.83	3.5	4	Watch
	1.57	4.12	6.1
	1.8	3.58	4.32	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5.8
	1.79	3.54	4.17	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.92)	3.67 ↑ (3.45)	4.76 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
54.9%

Draw
25.5%

Renofa Yamaguchi
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

26.9%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Omiya Ardija's performance.

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Renofa Yamaguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Omiya Ardija - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: Omiya Ardija will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 55. Gabriel 4. Ichihara R. 20. Shimoguchi W. 37. Sekiguchi K. 30. Arthur Feitoza 7. Kojima M. 14. Izumi T. 10. Toyokawa Y. 23. Sugimoto K. 42. Fujii K.	1. Marsman N. (G) 18. Kamekawa M. 4. Matsuda K. 14. Shimodo R. 55. Okaniwa S. 11. Yokoyama R. 7. Misawa N. 40. Naruoka H. 38. Suenaga T. 34. Furukawa D. 9. Arita R.
Substitutes
29. Caprini 26. Hamada M. 6. Ishikawa T. 21. Kato Y. (G) 22. Motegi R. 15. Nakayama K. 90. Sunday O. 5. Urakami N. 41. Yachida T.	21. Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 15. Itakura T. 6. Kim Byeom-Yong 28. Kobayashi S. 13. Miyayoshi T. 8. Noyori K. 30. Okuyama Y. 45. Yamamoto O. 19. Yamamoto S.
Coaches
Nagasawa T.	Shigaki R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Toyokawa Y. 🟨,
45+1', Fujii K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Suenaga T. ↓, Yamamoto O. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Yokoyama R. ⚽,
53', 1 - 1, Kojima M. ⚽, Fujii K. (A),
65', Furukawa D. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
75', Arita R. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
75', Yokoyama R. ↓, Noyori K. ↑,
75', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Yachida T. ↑,
75', Fujii K. ↓, Caprini ↑,
75', Sekiguchi K. ↓, Motegi R. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Arthur Feitoza ⚽,
82', Misawa N. ↓, Miyayoshi T. ↑,
90', Izumi T. ↓, Urakami N. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Omiya won 2.

Omiya will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Omiya won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:16 (average 1.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Omiya won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:9 (average 2.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
01.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	0:4 ✺
22.02.25	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Omiya Ardija - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.01.25	Kyoto Sanga - Omiya Ardija	4:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
24.11.24	Omiya Ardija - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLL
- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
02.03.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Consadole Sapporo	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Ventforet Kofu - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Gainare Tottori	2:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
10.11.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Yokohama FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
07.10.23	Omiya Ardija - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1
18.02.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Omiya Ardija	1:0
09.10.22	Omiya Ardija - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1
03.04.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Omiya Ardija	1:0
07.11.21	Omiya Ardija - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2
27.06.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Omiya Ardija	0:1
13.12.20	Omiya Ardija - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:1

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