Match Info

J2 League - Round 13

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Omiya Ardija		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.77	3.5	4.4	Watch
	1.82	3.62	4.65
	1.81	3.46	4.44	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.2
	1.76	3.54	4.32	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.7)	3.45 ↓ (3.74)	4.39 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
52%

Draw
26.9%

Kataller Toyama
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

24.8%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.4%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Omiya Ardija - Kataller Toyama Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Kataller Toyama (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Omiya Ardija will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Omiya Ardija will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Omiya (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Kataller Toyama (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 55. Gabriel 4. Ichihara R. 5. Urakami N. 20. Shimoguchi W. 41. Yachida T. 7. Kojima M. 14. Izumi T. 29. Caprini 23. Sugimoto K. 90. Sunday O.	1. Tagawa T. (G) 88. Hama T. 41. Sakai S. 4. Kamiyama K. 28. Fuseya S. 48. Ueda K. 16. Sueki H. 8. Matsuoka D. 17. Inoue N. 33. Takahashi Y. 9. Usui S.
Substitutes
42. Fujii K. 9. Gonzalez F. 6. Ishikawa T. 21. Kato Y. (G) 34. Murakami Y. 15. Nakayama K. 37. Sekiguchi K. 10. Toyokawa Y. 33. Wada T.	42. Hirao T. (G) 18. Ito T. 24. Kawai Y. 10. Matsuda R. 32. Mizoguchi S. 26. Nabeta A. 23. Nishiya S. 14. Ura J. 27. Yoshihira T.
Coaches
Nagasawa T.	Otagiri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Ichihara R. ⚽, Caprini (A),
29', 1 - 1, Matsuoka D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sunday O. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Caprini ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
61', Ueda K. ↓, Kawai Y. ↑,
61', Inoue N. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Usui S. ⚽, Kawai Y. (A),
67', Gonzalez F. 🟥,
71', Urakami N. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
71', Yachida T. ↓, Wada T. ↑,
71', Caprini ↓, Sekiguchi K. ↑,
77', Matsuoka D. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
81', Izumi T. ↓, Toyokawa Y. ↑,
86', Hama T. ↓, Nishiya S. ↑,
86', Takahashi Y. ↓, Yoshihira T. ↑,
86', Ito T. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kataller Toyama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kataller Toyama has had a series of home games.

In this match, Omiya is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Omiya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
29.04.25	Iwaki - Omiya Ardija	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Omiya Ardija - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Imabari - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Omiya Ardija - Tokyo	1:3 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
13.04.25	Blaublitz Akita - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLW
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
29.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Tokushima Vortis - Kataller Toyama	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Iwaki	1:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
13.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
24.11.24	Omiya Ardija - Kataller Toyama	1:2
16.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Omiya Ardija	1:1

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