Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 3

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Egao Kenko Stadium (Kumamoto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Roasso Kumamoto		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.25	Watch
	2.8	3.05	2.33	Watch
	3.05	3.46	2.37
	2.93	3.26	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	3.03	3.34	2.28	Watch
	2.8	3.05	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.45)	3.22 ↑ (3.18)	2.32 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
31.5%

Draw
28.7%

Omiya Ardija
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roasso Kumamoto's form might have worsened.

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Omiya Ardija's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kumamoto will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Omiya will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Omiya: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sato Y. (G) 5. Abe K. 4. Hakamata Y. 24. Ri T. 8. Kamimura S. 21. Toyoda A. 15. Mishima S. 19. Watanabe R. 17. Fujii K. 18. Handai M. 10. Konagaya C.	1. Kasahara T. (G) 55. Gabriel 26. Hamada M. 20. Shimoguchi W. 22. Motegi R. 30. Arthur Feitoza 7. Kojima M. 14. Izumi T. 10. Toyokawa Y. 23. Sugimoto K. 42. Fujii K.
Substitutes
11. Bae Jeong-Min 25. Kobayashi K. 55. Musha H. (G) 27. Negishi K. 20. Osaki S. 14. Shiohama R. 7. Takemoto Y.	29. Caprini 6. Ishikawa T. 21. Kato Y. (G) 15. Nakayama K. 37. Sekiguchi K. 90. Sunday O. 5. Urakami N. 41. Yachida T. 16. Yasumitsu S.
Coaches
Oki T.	Nagasawa T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
55', 0 - 1, Izumi T. ⚽,
57', 0 - 2, Fujii K. ⚽, Gabriel (A),
60', Watanabe R. ↓, Shiohama R. ↑,
60', Mishima S. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,
62', 0 - 3, Fujii K. ⚽, Arthur Feitoza (A),
76', Motegi R. ↓, Sekiguchi K. ↑,
76', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Yachida T. ↑,
76', Fujii K. ↓, Sunday O. ↑,
78', Fujii K. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
78', Konagaya C. ↓, Bae Jeong-Min ↑,
83', Izumi T. ↓, Yasumitsu S. ↑,
88', Sugimoto K. ↓, Caprini ↑,
89', Handai M. ↓, Kobayashi K. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 4, Caprini ⚽, Sekiguchi K. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 4.

Omiya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:6 (average 1.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Kumamoto won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:1 (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
22.02.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Consadole Sapporo	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
04.11.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Vegalta Sendai	3:1 ✺
27.10.24	Montedio Yamagata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWL
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
22.02.25	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Omiya Ardija - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.01.25	Kyoto Sanga - Omiya Ardija	4:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
24.11.24	Omiya Ardija - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
16.11.24	Gifu - Omiya Ardija	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
16.09.23	Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto	0:3
04.03.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	3:0
04.09.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	1:0
04.03.22	Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2
29.07.18	Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1
21.03.18	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	2:1
10.10.15	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	3:0

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