Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: GSP Stadium (Nicosia)

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Omonia		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.25
	3.35	2.98	2.28
	3.61	3.25	2.34
	3.25	3.22	2.3
	3.25	3	2.3
	3.37	3.03	2.35
	3.5	2.9	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.18)	3.05 ↓ (3.36)	2.3 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omonia
27.8%

Draw
31%

Raków Częstochowa
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.8%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

29%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omonia's form might have worsened.

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omonia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raków Częstochowa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	71.9%	15.6%

Omonia - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 3 - 10%). Raków will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 13 - 92.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Raków (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Raków (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 13 - 81.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Fabiano Freitas (G) 2. Dionkou A. 27. Simic S. 17. Agouzoul S. 24. Khammas A. 20. Andreou E. 31. Kousoulos I. (C) 14. Maric M. 74. Andreou P. 44. Erakovic N. 10. Chatzigiovanis A.	48. Zych O. (G) 7. Tudor F. (C) 25. Racovitan B. 4. Svarnas S. 19. Ameyaw M. 23. Struski K. 6. Repka O. 11. Adriano 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 18. Brunes J. 9. Makuch P.
Substitutes
5. Coulibaly S. 6. Eiting C. 11. Ewandro 8. Jovetic S. 3. Kitsos F. 90. Konstantinidis C. 98. Kyriakidis C. (G) 21. Masouras G. 19. Mmaee R. 85. Neofytou A. 30. Panagiotou N. 7. Semedo W.	88. Barath P. 5. Bulat M. 66. Konstantopoulos A. 10. Lopez I. 39. Madrzyk J. (G) 44. Mircetic B. 8. Pienko T. 99. Rondic I. 97. Seck I. 20. Silva J. C. 1. Trelowski K. (G)
Coaches
Berg H.	Papszun M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Diaby-Fadiga L. 🟨,
16', Dionkou A. 🟨,
19', Simic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Repka O. ⚽, Ameyaw M. (A),
62', Chatzigiovanis A. ↓, Ewandro ↑,
62', Dionkou A. ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
62', Andreou E. ↓, Semedo W. ↑,
70', Maric M. 🟨,
70', Erakovic N. ↓, Mmaee R. ↑,
71', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
79', Andreou P. ↓, Eiting C. ↑,
82', Struski K. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
86', Kousoulos I. 🟨,
90+2', Brunes J. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
90+2', Adriano ↓, Silva J. C. ↑,
90+2', Tudor F. ↓, Konstantopoulos A. ↑,

Preview

Omonia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Raków is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Omonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Omonia: Mmaee R. (Muscle Injury) Musialowski M. (Inactive) Tankovic M. (Inactive) Uzoho F. (International duty)

There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Mosor A. (Inactive) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
15.12.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Rapid Wien - Omonia	0:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
06.12.25	Olympiacos Nicosia - Omonia	0:3 ✺
01.12.25	Omonia - Omonia Aradippou	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Omonia - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWWW
- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.12.25	Raków Częstochowa - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Raków Częstochowa - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.12.25	Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
03.12.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.11.25	Arka Gdynia - Raków Częstochowa	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW

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