Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 2

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Poland	CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 1x2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Śląsk Wrocław		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.60	2.20	Watch
	3.00	3.40	2.25
	2.95	3.30	2.30
	3.15	3.54	2.33
	3.05	3.52	2.3	Watch
	3.10	3.50	2.25
	3.04	3.64	2.23	Watch
	3.00	3.35	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.75)	3.48 ↑ (3.13)	2.26 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
31.1%

Draw
27.1%

Raków Częstochowa
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

28.3%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Śląsk Wrocław's performance.

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raków Częstochowa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	13.3%	46.7%

Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Raków will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Śląsk (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Niemczycki K. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 5. Ba L. 3. Christodoulou I. 27. Rosiak M. 15. Yriarte J. 20. Tomasiewicz G. 8. Llinares M. 7. Samiec-Talar P. (C) 11. Marjanac L. 19. Banaszak P.	1. Trelowski K. (G) 20. Silva J. C. 25. Racovitan B. (C) 77. Debohi D. G. 26. Otieno E. 19. Ameyaw M. 6. Repka O. 10. Kochergin V. 21. Pienko T. 11. Emreli M. 9. Makuch P.
Substitutes
88. Ciucka A. 10. Dembele P. M. 4. Dijakovic M. 44. Malec M. 14. Mokrzycki M. 77. Shabani E. 2. Szala D. 25. Szromnik M. (G) 21. Timossi A.	22. Abraham O. 99. Basse A. 39. Brusberg I. 5. Bulat M. 17. Jendryka J. 71. Karic T. (G) 15. Kwiatkowski O. 88. Molnar A. 2. Napieraj J. 23. Struski K. 7. Tudor F. 29. Zolneczko W. (G)
Coaches
Simundza A.	Kroczek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Racovitan B. 🟨,
45+3', Yriarte J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Pienko T. ↓, Molnar A. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Emreli M. ⚽, Silva J. C. (A),
61', Banaszak P. ↓, Dembele P. M. ↑,
61', Rosiak M. ↓, Timossi A. ↑,
70', Yriarte J. ↓, Mokrzycki M. ↑,
73', Emreli M. ↓, Brusberg I. ↑,
73', Kochergin V. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
82', Debohi D. G. 🟨,
85', Makuch P. ↓, Basse A. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Marjanac L. ⚽,
89', Matsenko Y. ↓, Malec M. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Samiec-Talar P. ⚽, Mokrzycki M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 1.

Raków has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Śląsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Śląsk won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Slask Wroclaw: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Slask Wroclaw	10	1	3	6	12:19	-7	6
18	Rakow	10	1	0	9	13:25	-12	3

Last Results with these Odds

Śląsk Wrocław - the odds 3.75 are the expected chance of winning is 23.61%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Raków Częstochowa - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 48.11%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.07.26	Górnik Zabrze - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Zlín	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Chrobry Głogów	4:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
24.05.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTWT
- Raków Częstochowa
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Valletta - Raków Częstochowa	0:4 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.07.26	Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Raków Częstochowa - Valletta	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	GKS Katowice - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
08.07.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
03.12.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	1:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.04.25	Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław	3:0
26.10.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	0:0
25.05.24	Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław	1:2
03.12.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	1:1
10.03.23	Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław	4:1
28.08.22	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	1:4

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