Match Info

Date: 4 November 2020, Wednesday


	Omonia Aradippou		Aris

	1	X	2
	3.45	2.75	2.11
	3.49	2.58	2.42
	2.62	3.3	2.4
	2.9	2.81	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.5)	2.86 ↓ (3.2)	2.38 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omonia Aradippou
29.4%

Draw
32%

Aris
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

20.6%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omonia Aradippou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omonia Aradippou's form might have worsened.

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia Aradippou than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion to First Division).

Recent matches Omonia Aradippou is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aris is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Omonia Aradippou could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aris have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Omonia Aradippou won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Omonia Aradippou won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omonia Aradippou
Cypriot Division 2
31.10.20	Krasava Ypsonas - Omonia Aradippou	0:4 ✺
24.10.20	Omonia Aradippou - Anagennisi Dherynia	3:0 ✺
21.10.20	ASIL Lysi - Omonia Aradippou	1:1 ✺
14.10.20	Omonia Aradippou - Akritas Chlorakas	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Ayia Napa - Omonia Aradippou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTLL
- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
01.11.20	Aris - Asteras Tripolis	1:0 ✺
Cypriot Division 2
30.10.20	Aris - Alki Oroklini	4:1 ✺
24.10.20	Thoi Lakatamias - Aris	2:2 ✺
Cypriot Cup
21.10.20	Aris - Ethnikos Achna	1:4 ✺
Greek Super League
17.10.20	Aris - Apollon Smyrni	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot Division 2
22.12.19	Aris - Omonia Aradippou	1:0
16.02.19	Omonia Aradippou - Aris	0:1
21.10.18	Aris - Omonia Aradippou	2:1

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