The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oostende 20.8%
Draw 24.1%
Saint-Gilloise 55.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
23.8%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.6%
23.8%
52.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oostende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oostende than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.7%
6.8%
70.5%
Oostende - Saint Gilloise Predictions
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Oostende will win (votes: 10 - 22.7%). Union SG will win (votes: 31 - 70.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 57% โ 84%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group)).
Oostende has the most likely position - 14 (14.63%), has project points - 36, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (28%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Union SG has the most likely position - 5 (26.19%), has project points - 61, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (13%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
This event has quality42, small importance25, match rating33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Oostende is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Union SG is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Union SG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Union SG is a favorite.
There will not play in Oostende: D'Arpino M.
(Knee Injury)
Schelfhout J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Union SG: Eckert Ayensa D.
(Injury)
Machida K.
(Hip Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Oostende won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Oostende won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-10.
Watch
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