Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi)

Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Netherlands	Sporza


	Charleroi		Kortrijk

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4.33
	1.78	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.81	3.75	4.65
	1.8	3.74	4.42	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.33
	1.77	3.85	4.48	Watch
	1.78	3.75	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.77)	3.73 ↓ (3.8)	4.38 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleroi
53.1%

Draw
25.3%

Kortrijk
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24.9%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

24.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Kortrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Charleroi - Kortrijk Predictions

Users Predictions: Charleroi will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kone M. (G) 98. Petris J. 95. Keita C. 21. Andreou S. 15. Dragsnes V. 6. Zorgane A. (C) 5. Camara E. 17. Bernier A. 18. Heymans D. 8. Guiagon P. 10. Badji Y.	31. Gunnarsson P. (G) 24. Fujii H. 44. Silva J. (C) 26. Lagae B. 7. El Idrissy M. 17. Bruno M. 6. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 10. Kadri A. 2. Alebiosu R. 68. Ambrose T. 19. Nacho
Substitutes
56. Boukamir A. 9. Dabbagh O. 33. Defourny T. (G) 7. Mbenza I. 24. Nzita M. 4. Ousou A. 29. Rogelj Z. 80. Sylla Y. 22. Titraoui Y.	16. Dejaegere B. 11. De Neve D. 14. Fossum I. 30. Kaneko T. 4. Mampassi M. 45. Messaoudi B. 95. Pirard L. (G) 27. Sissako A. 23. Takamine T.
Coaches
De Mil R.	Alexandersson F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Heymans D. ⚽, Zorgane A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Andreou S. 🟨,
59', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, Takamine T. ↑,
59', Bruno M. ↓, Dejaegere B. ↑,
60', Nacho ↓, Messaoudi B. ↑,
61', El Idrissy M. 🟨,
68', Badji Y. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
70', Alebiosu R. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
70', Fujii H. ↓, Mampassi M. ↑,
79', Bernier A. ↓, Mbenza I. ↑,
79', Guiagon P. ↓, Nzita M. ↑,
87', Kadri A. 🟨,
88', Dragsnes V. ↓, Ousou A. ↑,
90+6', Ambrose T. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charleroi won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kortrijk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Charleroi is a favorite.

There will not play in Charleroi: Benbouali N. (Injury) Boukamir M. (Injury)

There will not play in Kortrijk: Afolabi J. (Knock) Dewaele G. (Knee Injury) Seck D. (Knee Injury) Sissako A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Charleroi: Mayoka-Tika N. (Knock)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Charleroi won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Charleroi won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.08.24	Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Charleroi - Gent	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.24	Francs Borains - Charleroi	1:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.08.24	Sint-Truidense - Charleroi	1:4 ✺
28.07.24	Charleroi - Royal Antwerp	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWL
- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.08.24	Kortrijk - Standard Liège	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Dender EH - Kortrijk	4:1 ✺
04.08.24	Cercle Brugge - Kortrijk	1:2 ✺
28.07.24	Kortrijk - Gent	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	AZ Alkmaar - Kortrijk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.05.24	Charleroi - Kortrijk	3:1
14.04.24	Kortrijk - Charleroi	1:2
03.02.24	Kortrijk - Charleroi	1:0
23.09.23	Charleroi - Kortrijk	1:0
04.03.23	Kortrijk - Charleroi	0:1
18.10.22	Charleroi - Kortrijk	2:2
25.01.22	Charleroi - Kortrijk	1:1

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