Match Info
Serie B - Round 21Date: 7 August 2026, FridayLocation: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Operário Ferroviario |
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São Bernardo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.91 |
3.2 |
4.33 |
 Watch |
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1.93 |
3.25 |
3.75 |
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1.9 |
3.2 |
4.05 |
Watch |
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2.01 |
3.28 |
4.31 |
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1.92 |
3.25 |
4.28 |
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1.94 |
3.2 |
4.35 |
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1.93 |
3.16 |
4.28 |
Watch |
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1.92 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.75) |
3.22 ↓
(3.28) |
4.18 ↓
(4.68) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Operário Ferroviario
48.5% | Draw
29.1% | São Bernardo
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). São Bernardo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Operário PR: 46.4% – 99%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
33.  Vagner (G)
2. Mikael Doka
44. Klaus
16. Miranda
27. Gabriel Feliciano
39. Matheus Trindade
14.  Pereira H.
10. Boschilia (C)
20. Vinicius Diniz
11. Aylon
99. Caio Dantas
| 1. Alex Alves (G)
2. Rodrigo Ferreira
3. Helder Maciel
35. Jemerson
33. Mario Sergio
17. Romisson
8. Foguinho (C)
26. Dudu Miraima
42. Hyoran
9. Felipe Garcia
29. Pedrinho
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| Substitutes |
21. Brenno Pereira
32. Charles Raphael
1. Elias Curzel (G)
5. Indio
43. Joseph
26. Maguinho
77. Maxwell
6. Moraes
88. Neto Paraiba
30. Pedro Vilhena
9. Vinicius Mingotti
8.  Zuluaga J.
| 97. Augusto
89. Daniel Amorim
37. Davi D.
27. Echapora
10. Fabricio Daniel
21. Hugo Sanches
12. Junior Oliveira (G)
14. Lucas Lima
90. Luizao
77. Marcao Silva
6. Para
11. Pedro Vitor
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| Coaches |
Luizinho Lopes
| Ricardo Catala
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Miranda 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Pedrinho ⚽, Romisson (A),
- 36', Pereira H. 🟨,
- 37', Hyoran 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Aylon ↓, Moraes ↑,
- 56', Mario Sergio ↓, Para ↑,
- 59', Matheus Trindade ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
- 59', Caio Dantas ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
- 64', Pedrinho ↓, Davi D. ↑,
- 64', Hyoran ↓, Pedro Vitor ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Vinicius Diniz ⚽,
- 71', Mikael Doka ↓, Maguinho ↑,
- 76', Dudu Miraima ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 76', Foguinho ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
- 79', Alex Alves 🟨,
- 81', Pereira H. ↓, Maxwell ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Lucas Lima ⚽, Romisson (A),
- 90+2', 1 - 3, Pedro Vitor ⚽, Romisson (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 12).Operário PR is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).São Bernardo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Operário PR is the team to beat.There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira
(Knee Injury)
Cuenu J.
(Inactive)
Zuluaga J.
(Injury)There will not play in São Bernardo: Lucas Fernandes
(Injury)
Lucas Rian
(Red Card)
Matheus Salustiano
(Knee Injury)
Pedro Vitor
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Andrade
(Knee Injury)In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
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Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Operario-PR | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:30 | 0 | 35 |
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| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 30 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie B | | | 02.04.26 | São Bernardo - Operário Ferroviario | 1:2 | | Brazilian Serie C | | | 08.10.23 | Operário Ferroviario - São Bernardo | 1:0 | | 03.09.23 | São Bernardo - Operário Ferroviario | 2:1 | | 06.08.23 | Operário Ferroviario - São Bernardo | 1:0 |
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