The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Operário Ferroviario 48.5%
Draw 29.1%
São Bernardo 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.4%
28%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
27.2%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
0%
27.3%
Operário Ferroviario - São Bernardo Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). São Bernardo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Operário PR: 46.4% – 99%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 44. Klaus 16. Miranda 27. Gabriel Feliciano 39. Matheus Trindade 14. Pereira H. 10. Boschilia (C) 20. Vinicius Diniz 11. Aylon 99. Caio Dantas
1. Alex Alves (G) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 3. Helder Maciel 35. Jemerson 33. Mario Sergio 17. Romisson 8. Foguinho (C) 26. Dudu Miraima 42. Hyoran 9. Felipe Garcia 29. Pedrinho
Substitutes
21. Brenno Pereira 32. Charles Raphael 1. Elias Curzel (G) 5. Indio 43. Joseph 26. Maguinho 77. Maxwell 6. Moraes 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 9. Vinicius Mingotti 8. Zuluaga J.
97. Augusto 89. Daniel Amorim 37. Davi D. 27. Echapora 10. Fabricio Daniel 21. Hugo Sanches 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 14. Lucas Lima 90. Luizao 77. Marcao Silva 6. Para 11. Pedro Vitor
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes
Ricardo Catala
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Miranda 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Pedrinho ⚽, Romisson (A),
36', Pereira H. 🟨,
37', Hyoran 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Aylon ↓, Moraes ↑,
56', Mario Sergio ↓, Para ↑,
59', Matheus Trindade ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
59', Caio Dantas ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
64', Pedrinho ↓, Davi D. ↑,
64', Hyoran ↓, Pedro Vitor ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Vinicius Diniz ⚽,
71', Mikael Doka ↓, Maguinho ↑,
76', Dudu Miraima ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
76', Foguinho ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
79', Alex Alves 🟨,
81', Pereira H. ↓, Maxwell ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Lucas Lima ⚽, Romisson (A),
90+2', 1 - 3, Pedro Vitor ⚽, Romisson (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 12).
Operário PR is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
São Bernardo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Operário PR is the team to beat.
There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira
(Knee Injury)
Cuenu J.
(Inactive)
Zuluaga J.
(Injury)
There will not play in São Bernardo: Lucas Fernandes
(Injury)
Lucas Rian
(Red Card)
Matheus Salustiano
(Knee Injury)
Pedro Vitor
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Andrade
(Knee Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
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Vagner (G) 
Pereira H. 
Zuluaga J. 
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