Match Info

Serie B - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	São Bernardo		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	2.57	2.82	2.85
	2.65	2.80	2.75
	2.68	2.82	2.88
	2.68	2.97	3.12
	2.7	2.86	2.91	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.95
	2.64	2.89	2.91
	2.5	2.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.43)	2.84 ↓ (2.95)	2.89 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
35.3%

Draw
32.7%

Cuiabá
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.7%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

32.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	77.8%	0%

São Bernardo - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - São Bernardo (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 35. Jemerson 97. Augusto 6. Para 26. Dudu Miraima 8. Foguinho (C) 7. Lucas Rian 17. Romisson 27. Echapora 89. Daniel Amorim	31. Marcelo Carne (G) 41. Kauan Cristtyan 13. Joao Basso 4. Vitor Mendes 33. Alan Empereur (C) 6. Marlon 8. Pepe 5. Calebe Costa 30. Raul 53. Weverson 29. Vinicius Peixoto
Substitutes
37. Davi D. 10. Fabricio Daniel 25. Gonzaga W. 3. Helder Maciel 21. Hugo Sanches 42. Hyoran 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 14. Lucas Lima 70. Lucas Reis 77. Marcao Silva 33. Mario Sergio 29. Pedrinho	20. David Miguel 14. Eric Melo 77. Jean Dias 1. Joao Carlos (G) 36. Lorenzo 91. Luis Soares 97. Luiz Otavio 96. Pedro H. 37. Raylan 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues
Coaches
Ricardo Catala	Barros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Lucas Rian ⚽, Dudu Miraima (A),
12', 1 - 1, Marlon ⚽, Pepe (A),
29', 1 - 2, Alex Alves (Own goal),
45+1', 2 - 2, Rodrigo Ferreira ⚽, Daniel Amorim (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Weverson ↓, Jean Dias ↑,
58', Echapora ↓, Hyoran ↑,
59', Calebe Costa 🟨,
61', Vinicius Peixoto ↓, Pedro H. ↑,
61', Calebe Costa ↓, David Miguel ↑,
74', Foguinho ↓, Davi D. ↑,
74', Lucas Rian ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
75', Pepe ↓, Raylan ↑,
80', Augusto 🟨,
81', Davi D. 🟨,
88', Dudu Miraima ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
88', Daniel Amorim ↓, Lucas Reis ↑,
89', Kauan Cristtyan ↓, Rodrigo Rodrigues ↑,
90+1', Jean Dias 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).

São Bernardo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cuiabá is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

São Bernardo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

São Bernardo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in São Bernardo: Felipe Garcia (Yellow Cards) Lucas Fernandes (Injury) Matheus Salustiano (Knee Injury) Pedro Vitor (Inactive) Rodrigo Andrade (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y. (Inactive) Eliel (Hand Injury)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Gabriel Knesowitsch (Inactive) Hernades (Muscle Injury) Joao Araujo (Inactive) Mateus Santos (Inactive) Pedro H. (Hand Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47
12	Sao Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	10	45

Last Results with these Odds

São Bernardo - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.53%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie B
06.07.26	Vila Nova - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Criciúma - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	São Bernardo - Juventude	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	São Bernardo - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	CRB Maceio - São Bernardo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLLTW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
02.07.26	Cuiabá - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
25.06.26	Cuiabá - Londrina	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Avaí - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
09.06.26	Ponte Preta - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLWW

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