Match Info

Serie B - Round 16

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vila Nova		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.30	4.10	Watch
	1.90	3.10	3.90
	1.97	3.25	3.90	Watch
	1.98	3.30	4.41
	1.96	3.25	4.04	Watch
	1.96	3.15	4.35
	1.93	3.27	4.06
	1.96	3.15	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.86)	3.22 ↓ (3.29)	4.1 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
48.1%

Draw
29.1%

São Bernardo
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28.2%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

27.4%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	38.9%	16.7%

Vila Nova - São Bernardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). São Bernardo will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Helton Leite (G) 22. Hayner 3. Tiago Pagnussat 14. Anderson Jesus 6. Higor 5. Joao Vieira 20. Nathan Camargo 33. Bruno Xavier 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 7. Andre Luis	1. Alex Alves (G) 21. Hugo Sanches 3. Helder Maciel 35. Jemerson 6. Para 8. Foguinho (C) 17. Romisson 27. Echapora 42. Hyoran 7. Lucas Rian 9. Felipe Garcia
Substitutes
38. Caio Marcelo 29. Dalberson (G) 49. Dellatorre 31. Dodo 70. Emerson Urso 18. Enzo Bizzotto 9. Gustavo Puskas 17. Kerlon 4. Samuel Lucas 13. Willian Formiga	89. Daniel Amorim 37. Davi D. 10. Fabricio Daniel 25. Gonzaga W. 39. Hwaskar 16. Jota 90. Luizao 77. Marcao Silva 40. Matheus Nogueira (G) 29. Pedrinho
Coaches
Guto Ferreira	Ricardo Catala

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Marquinhos Gabriel ⚽, Higor (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Foguinho 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Hyoran ⚽,
60', Bruno Xavier ↓, Enzo Bizzotto ↑,
67', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Dodo ↑,
67', Andre Luis ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
68', Lucas Rian ↓, Davi D. ↑,
70', Felipe Garcia 🟨,
76', Echapora ↓, Daniel Amorim ↑,
76', Hyoran ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
82', Anderson Jesus ↓, Willian Formiga ↑,
82', Hayner ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
85', Foguinho ↓, Luizao ↑,
85', Felipe Garcia ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
89', Davi D. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Janderson ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Vila Nova is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Vila Nova: Dudu (Red Card) Rafa Silva (Knee Injury) Ryan (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in São Bernardo: Augusto (Yellow Cards) Dudu Miraima (Yellow Cards) Lucas Fernandes (Injury) Matheus Salustiano (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Andrade (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Ferreira (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in São Bernardo: Fabricio Daniel (Muscle Injury) Pedro Vitor (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44:31	13	58
12	Sao Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	10	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
26.06.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Vila Nova - Náutico Capibaribe	4:3 ✺
14.06.26	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
08.06.26	Vila Nova - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Londrina - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLWW
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie B
27.06.26	Criciúma - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	São Bernardo - Juventude	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	São Bernardo - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	CRB Maceio - São Bernardo	2:3 ✺
31.05.26	São Bernardo - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLTWT

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