Match Info

Serie B - Round 6

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Disney+, RedeTV!


	Operário Ferroviario		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	3.2	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.9
	2.45	2.88	3.05
	2.49	3	3.36
	2.44	2.94	3.18
	2.45	2.75	3.1
	2.43	2.85	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.47)	2.88 ↑ (2.87)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
38.1%

Draw
32.3%

Fortaleza
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

32.4%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

33.4%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Operário Ferroviario - Fortaleza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Fortaleza (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 16. Miranda 27. Gabriel Feliciano 20. Vinicius Diniz 5. Indio 29. Torres E. 10. Boschilia (C) 11. Aylon 92. Pablo	25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 2. Britez E. (C) 33. Kaua Rocha 3. Lucas Gazal 22. Mailton 5. Pierre 37. Ryan 13. Mauricio Junior 7. Pochettino T. 32. Luiz Fernando 9. Miritello J. B.
Substitutes
4. Andre 99. Caio Dantas 32. Charles Raphael 1. Elias Curzel (G) 7. Felipe Augusto 44. Klaus 26. Maguinho 39. Matheus Trindade 6. Moraes 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 14. Pereira H.	12. Brenno (G) 4. Luan Freitas 19. Lucas Emanoel 88. Lucas Sasha 38. Lucca Prior 20. Matheus Rossetto 77. Paulo Baya 29. Rodrigo 75. Rodriguinho 8. Ronald 11. Vitinho 31. Welliton
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Thiago Carpini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Pochettino T. 🟨,
42', Cuenu J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Torres E. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
61', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
70', Miritello J. B. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
70', Pierre ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
70', Ryan ↓, Lucas Sasha ↑,
71', Boschilia ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
71', Aylon ↓, Matheus Trindade ↑,
71', Indio ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
90', Miranda ↓, Klaus ↑,
90+3', Pochettino T. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
90+3', Luiz Fernando ↓, Lucas Emanoel ↑,
90+6', Lucas Gazal 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

Operário PR has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fortaleza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive) Vinicius Mingotti (Inactive) Zuluaga J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Fortaleza: Cardona T. (Muscle Injury) Fuentes G. (Injury) Joao Ricardo (Inactive) Lucas Crispim (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fortaleza	32	15	11	6	37:27	10	56
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	1	48

Last Results with these Odds

Fortaleza - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.01%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Copa do Brasil
23.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Cianorte - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTTT
- Fortaleza EC
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.04.26	Fortaleza - Criciúma	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
16.04.26	América RN - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	São Bernardo - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWL

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