Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Nascimento J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Vila Nova		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.38	2.98	3.05	Watch
	2.47	3.04	3.34
	2.4	3.03	3.15
	2.45	2.88	3
	2.38	2.93	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.39)	2.99 ↓ (3.07)	3.14 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
39%

Draw
31.2%

Operário Ferroviario
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Helton Leite (G) 2. Elias 4. Pedro Romano 38. Caio Marcelo 6. Higor 15. Dudu 8. Willian Maranhao 11. Ryan 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 9. Rafa Silva	1. Elias Curzel (G) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 16. Miranda 6. Moraes 20. Vinicius Diniz 39. Matheus Trindade 10. Boschilia (C) 14. Pereira H. 25. Caio Dantas 11. Aylon
Substitutes
14. Anderson Jesus 33. Bruno Xavier 29. Dalberson (G) 21. Dodo 18. Enzo Bizzotto 19. Gustavo Puskas 22. Hayner 5. Joao Vieira 20. Nathan Camargo 7. Ruan Ribeiro 3. Tiago Pagnussat 13. Willian Formiga	4. Andre 3. Charles Raphael 41. Diego Monteiro (G) 7. Felipe Augusto 27. Gabriel Feliciano 5. Klaus 28. Maguinho 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 18. Pool J. 29. Torres E.
Coaches
Guto Ferreira	Luizinho Lopes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Rafa Silva ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Vinicius Diniz ⚽, Boschilia (A),
45', Aylon 🟨,
45+3', Vinicius Diniz 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Willian Maranhao ↓, Joao Vieira ↑,
46', Higor ↓, Willian Formiga ↑,
48', Janderson 🟨,
50', 2 - 1, Ryan ⚽, Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
51', Caio Marcelo 🟨,
59', Pedro Romano 🟨,
62', Caio Marcelo ↓, Anderson Jesus ↑,
63', Caio Dantas ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
64', Matheus Trindade ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
64', Willian Formiga 🟨,
74', Pereira H. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
75', Joao Vieira 🟨,
81', Moraes ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
81', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
82', Ryan ↓, Hayner ↑,
82', Pedro Romano ↓, Tiago Pagnussat ↑,
83', Dudu 🟨,
88', Rafa Silva 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2.

Vila Nova is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Operário PR has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vila Nova could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Vila Nova: Andre Luis (Inactive)

There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive) Indio (Yellow Cards) Vinicius Mingotti (Inactive)

There are questionable in Vila Nova: Elias (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Vila Nova FC: 22.76% Operario-PR: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44:31	13	58
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	1	48

Last Results with these Odds

Vila Nova - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.94%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Operário Ferroviario - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.78%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
15.04.26	Vila Nova - Capital CF Ltda	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
11.04.26	Ponte Preta - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
08.04.26	Primavera AC - Vila Nova	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWTWT
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Cianorte - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	São Bernardo - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.11.25	Operário Ferroviario - Vila Nova	2:2
11.07.25	Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
20.08.24	Operário Ferroviario - Vila Nova	2:3
04.05.24	Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
30.09.22	Operário Ferroviario - Vila Nova	1:1
16.06.22	Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
28.09.21	Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario	2:1

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