The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orange County SC 33.4%
Draw 25.7%
Phoenix Rising 40.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.4%
26%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.1%
25.7%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rando A. (G) 4. Benalcazar N. 5. Brewitt T. 15. Espy T. 23. Doghman R. (C) 19. Partida K. 18. Palomino M. 11. MacKinnon L. 8. Sylla O. 10. Hegardt C. 12. Bazini Y.
14. Odunze C. (G) 20. Biasi L. 4. Mar Boye P. 51. Essengue A. 48. Schmitt T. 13. Moursou J. 17. JP Scearce (C) 28. Arase K. 8. Gomez D. 7. Sacko I. 11. Studenhofft G.
Substitutes
20. Bunbury M. 14. Cambridge B. 17. Johnson J. 31. Kadono T. (G) 27. Kelly S. 16. Lindsey J. 25. Solis E. 6. Tubbs G. 7. Wathuta S.
27. Ambursley C. 23. Badji D. 24. Pelayo A. 1. Rakovsky P. (G) 19. Rivera D. 2. Smith C. 70. Torres J.
Coaches
Keinan D.
Kah P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Mar Boye P. ⚽, Gomez D. (A),
15', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
19', 0 - 2, Sacko I. ⚽,
35', Partida K. ↓, Cambridge B. ↑,
35', MacKinnon L. ↓, Kelly S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Espy T. ↓, Lindsey J. ↑,
51', Essengue A. 🟨,
52', Mar Boye P. 🟨,
58', 0 - 3, Sacko I. ⚽, Moursou J. (A),
66', Sylla O. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Palomino M. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
72', Arase K. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Bazini Y. ⚽, Doghman R. (A),
78', Moursou J. 🟨,
79', Hegardt C. 🟨,
79', Studenhofft G. ↓, Badji D. ↑,
81', Schmitt T. 🟨,
86', Doghman R. ↓, Bunbury M. ↑,
87', Gomez D. ↓, Pelayo A. ↑,
87', Biasi L. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1.
Orange County SC is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Phoenix Rising have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Phoenix Rising holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Orange County SC has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:27 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Orange County SC against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 13:9 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).