The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oakland Roots 49.2%
Draw 25.6%
Orange County SC 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
25.6%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
25.1%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Oakland Roots - Orange County SC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McIntosh K. (G) 11. de Vicente J. 5. Garcia D. 15. Hackshaw N. 23. Bravo J. 20. Fisher M. 4. McCabe T. (C) 10. Valot F. 2. Bruno Lapa 7. Prentice W. 27. Jacquesson B.
1. Rando A. (G) 15. Espy T. 5. Brewitt T. (C) 6. Tubbs G. 23. Doghman R. 4. Benalcazar N. 27. Kelly S. 11. MacKinnon L. 8. Sylla O. 10. Hegardt C. 12. Bazini Y.
Substitutes
6. Byaruhanga B. 34. Edwards M. 12. Gibson T. 21. Lepley T. 38. Lopez E. 53. Stone G. 87. Taylor D. (G) 99. Trejo D. 9. Wilson P.
20. Bunbury M. 14. Cambridge B. 35. Carter Jr. J. 30. Castro J. 31. Kadono T. (G) 16. Lindsey J. 29. Nelson E. 28. O'Brien F. 18. Palomino M.
Coaches
Martin R.
Stone D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Valot F. ⚽, McCabe T. (A),
31', MacKinnon L. 🟨,
40', Fisher M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Jacquesson B. ↓, Wilson P. ↑,
57', Bruno Lapa ↓, Lepley T. ↑,
59', Espy T. ↓, Lindsey J. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Bazini Y. ⚽,
73', Kelly S. 🟨,
74', McCabe T. ↓, Byaruhanga B. ↑,
74', MacKinnon L. ↓, Bunbury M. ↑,
79', Bravo J. 🟨,
82', Fisher M. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
82', Bravo J. ↓, Gibson T. ↑,
90+4', Byaruhanga B. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of home games.
Oakland Roots could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Oakland Roots won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Orange County SC - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.25%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.