Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Gazovik Stadium (Orenburg)

Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Orenburg		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.77	4.36
	1.82	3.70	4.30
	1.86	3.80	4.36	Watch
	1.80	3.50	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	3.69 ↑ (3.35)	4.23 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg
51.7%

Draw
25.8%

Akron Tolyatti
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 24. Sivis M. 6. Palacios J. 5. Tataev A. (C) 26. Tsenov E. 78. Kul R. 57. Bolotov E. 8. Puebla D. 11. Nazarenko E. 20. Rybchinskiy D. 30. Guzina G.	88. Gudiev V. (G) 2. Rocha Y. 13. Bardybakhin V. 26. Escoval R. 80. Khosonov K. 89. Popenkov D. 11. Dudu 15. Loncar S. (C) 22. Maradishvili K. 10. Arevalo K. 7. Benchimol
Substitutes
19. Alexandre Jesus 27. Golybin R. 7. Gonzalez J. 65. Ivashchenko I. 77. Kasadzhikov A. 38. Kasimov A. 95. Khodanovich A. (G) 4. Khotulev D. 63. Minatulaev O. 80. Pykhcheev M. 10. Thompson J. 3. Vedernikov D.	81. Bazilevskiy N. 8. Bistrovic K. 19. Bokoev M. 69. Dmitriev A. 21. Fernandez R. 6. Hovhannisyan K. 39. Makeev N. 67. Platon N. 9. Tedic S. 32. Terekhovsky I. (G) 47. Vedernikov E. 98. Volochay R. (G)
Coaches
Akhmetzyanov I.	Blagojevic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Bolotov E. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Guzina G. ⚽, Rybchinskiy D. (A),
44', Khosonov K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Arevalo K. ↓, Bistrovic K. ↑,
46', Maradishvili K. ↓, Tedic S. ↑,
62', Khosonov K. ↓, Hovhannisyan K. ↑,
62', Puebla D. ↓, Kasadzhikov A. ↑,
67', Benchimol 🟨,
69', Tataev A. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Dudu ⚽, Benchimol (A),
78', 1 - 2, Benchimol ⚽, Rocha Y. (A),
80', Nazarenko E. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
80', Guzina G. ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
80', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Golybin R. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Alexandre Jesus ⚽, Thompson J. (A),
86', Dudu ↓, Bokoev M. ↑,
86', Popenkov D. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
90+3', Bokoev M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Akron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Orenburg is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Akron: Bokoev M. (Inactive) Nedelcearu I. (Injury) Zheleznov Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Akron: Boldyrev M. (Inactive) Pestryakov D. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Akron Togliatti: 0.84% Orenburg: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Orenburg	10	2	6	2	11:10	1	12
14	Akron Togliatti	10	1	5	4	11:19	-8	8

Last Results with these Odds

Akron Tolyatti - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 22.4%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Orenburg - Rubin Kazan	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
30.08.26	Spartak Moscow - Orenburg	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Fakel - Orenburg	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	Rodina Moscow - Orenburg	1:4 ✺
Russian Premier League
14.08.26	Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTTWT
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Cup
01.09.26	Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
28.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - Krylya Sovetov	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	Rodina Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
28.02.26	Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti	2:0
17.08.25	Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg	1:2
30.11.24	Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg	1:0
10.08.24	Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti	2:2
Russian FNL
27.11.21	Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg	0:3
21.08.21	Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti	1:0
14.03.21	Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg	1:1

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