Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Oriental		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.5
	5.1	3.45	1.55
	6.2	3.85	1.45
	7.19	4.04	1.49
	6.45	4.2	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.09 ↑ (5.75)	3.91 ↓ (4.05)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental
15%

Draw
23.4%

Estrela da Amadora
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

22.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

19%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrela da Amadora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Oriental is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estrela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oriental could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Oriental have a series of guest games.

Recently Estrela have a series of home games.

In this match Estrela is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oriental won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Oriental Lisboa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.01.21	Rabo de Peixe - Oriental	0:0 ✺
17.01.21	Sporting Lisbon B - Oriental	3:2 ✺
09.01.21	Montijo - Oriental	0:3 ✺
23.12.20	Real SC - Oriental	1:0 ✺
19.12.20	Oriental Dragon - Oriental	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TLWLT
- Estrela da Amadora
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Real SC	2:1 ✺
17.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Fontinhas	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	0:4 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.01.21	Rabo de Peixe - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
03.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
25.10.20	Estrela da Amadora - Oriental	2:0

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