Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 21

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Real SC (Queluz)


	Real SC		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	4.1	3	1.83
	4	3	1.86
	4.9	3.08	1.84
	4.53	3.16	1.79
	4.2	3.15	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↓ (4.85)	3.08 ↓ (3.5)	1.83 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real SC
20.9%

Draw
29.5%

Lusitano GC
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

25.9%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

25.4%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lusitano GC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lusitano GC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Real SC has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lusitano GC is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lusitano GC is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real SC won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Real SC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real SC de Queluz
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
18.02.24	Imortal - Real SC	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Real SC - Serpa	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Moncarapachense - Real SC	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Elvas - Real SC	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Real SC - Louletano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
18.02.24	Lusitano GC - Louletano	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Setúbal - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Lusitano GC - Fabril do Barreiro	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Oriental - Lusitano GC	2:3 ✺
21.01.24	Lusitano GC - Juventude de Évora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
26.11.23	Lusitano GC - Real SC	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.12.19	Real SC - Lusitano GC	4:1

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