Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	Oriental Dragon		Alverca

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.95	2.15	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.1
	3.25	3.15	2.06
	3.38	3.17	2.15
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.3	3.28	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.96)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	2.12 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental Dragon
27.5%

Draw
29.6%

Alverca
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.4%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

20.9%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental Dragon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental Dragon than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alverca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Oriental Dragon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Alverca have a series of home games.

Alverca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oriental Dragon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental Dragon FC
Portuguese Liga 3
11.12.21	União de Santarém - Oriental Dragon	2:2 ✺
08.12.21	Cova De Piedade - Oriental Dragon	0:2 ✺
03.12.21	Oriental Dragon - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
27.11.21	Oriental Dragon - Setúbal	1:1 ✺
07.11.21	Oliveira Hospital - Oriental Dragon	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWTTT
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
12.12.21	Alverca - Cova De Piedade	2:0 ✺
08.12.21	Alverca - Setúbal	0:3 ✺
05.12.21	Torreense - Alverca	1:2 ✺
27.11.21	Alverca - Caldas	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.11.21	Alverca - Famalicão	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.21	Alverca - Oriental Dragon	1:0

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