Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Torreense		Alverca

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.9
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.35	3.2	3	Watch
	2.46	3.25	3.1
	2.41	3.12	3.03	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.4	3.13	3.05	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.12)	3.14 ↓ (3.27)	2.96 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Torreense
39.2%

Draw
29.5%

Alverca
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.9%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

29.7%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torreense's form might have worsened.

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torreense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alverca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Torreense - Alverca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Paes (G) 4. Ne Lopes 28. Elie 2. Stopira 22. Daniel Bolt 30. Balanta J. (C) 90. Costa D. 8. Leo Silva 23. Vazquez J. 11. Pozo M. 21. Felix V.	98. Joao Bravim (G) 3. Oliveira A. 5. Varela F. 13. Paulo Eduardo 16. Pires M. 40. Ageu E. 10. Andrezinho 25. Dias R. (C) 36. Thauan Lara 7. Brenner 9. Carter A.
Substitutes
46. Agbor B. 75. Jean-Marie M. 39. Leandro Matheus (G) 77. Luccas Paraizo 72. Oliveira V. 26. Simoes A. 15. Sousa V. 19. Talles Wander 9. Thomsen T.	8. Bessa E. 22. David Bruno 17. Harramiz S. 89. Lima J. 88. Martins D. 35. Pedro Bicalho 74. Shinga K. 23. Silva P. (G) 6. Velazquez S.
Coaches
Fernandes T.	Costa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Felix V. 🟨,
20', Oliveira A. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Felix V. ⚽, Daniel Bolt (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Vazquez J. 🟨,
63', Dias R. ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
64', Varela F. ↓, Martins D. ↑,
73', Elie ↓, Agbor B. ↑,
74', Brenner ↓, Bessa E. ↑,
75', Bessa E. 🟨,
81', Lucas Paes 🟨,
82', Andrezinho ↓, Lima J. ↑,
83', Carter A. 🟨,
85', Felix V. ↓, Simoes A. ↑,
90+1', Pozo M. ↓, Jean-Marie M. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torreense won 1.

Torreense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alverca is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torreense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Torreense have a series of guest games.

Torreense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Torreense won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Torreense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Elvas - Torreense	3:2 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.10.24	Paços de Ferreira - Torreense	1:0 ✺
04.10.24	Torreense - Tondela	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Chaves - Torreense	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.24	Académica Coimbra - Torreense	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- FC Alverca
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Alverca - Pero Pinheiro	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.10.24	Alverca - Penafiel	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Mafra - Alverca	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Alverca - Leixões	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Coimbrões - Alverca	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.04.22	Torreense - Alverca	2:0
20.03.22	Alverca - Torreense	2:1
26.02.22	Alverca - Torreense	3:1
05.12.21	Torreense - Alverca	1:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.04.21	Alverca - Torreense	0:0
10.03.21	Torreense - Alverca	1:2
Taça de Portugal
22.11.20	Torreense - Alverca	2:0

Upcoming Matches